- The Cardinals are -115 favorites vs the Orioles
- Cardinals vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Cardinals / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | FDMW
The St. Louis Cardinals (-115) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-105) on Monday, May 26, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD, MD.
This season, the Cardinals are 30-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 17-34 ATS.
Cardinals vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 3-3, 3.81 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 0-7, 7.69 ERA
Cardinals vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +140 | O 9 -115 | -115 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -170 | U 9 -105 | -105 |
Cardinals vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+14.50 Units / 362% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.50 Units / 57% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 51% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.50 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+20.00 Units / 286% ROI)
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+7.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+6.85 Units / 22% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 20 games (+15.20 Units / 55% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+13.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 12 away games (+8.10 Units / 56% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+7.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 53 games (+6.87 Units / 11% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 47 games (+13.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.29 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+6.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.05 Units / 57% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 32-21 against the Run Line (+6.4 Units / 8.47% ROI).
- 30-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.75 Units / 13.05% ROI
- 27-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 2.92% ROI
- 23-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.9 Units / -11.8% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 17-34 against the Run Line (-20.66 Units / -30.79% ROI).
- 18-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.35 Units / -36.96% ROI
- 25-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.03 Units / -1.82% ROI
- 24-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.67 Units / -6.35% ROI
Orioles vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Cedric Mullins (BAL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Ivan Herrera (STL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Ramon Urias (BAL) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
Orioles vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jackson Holliday (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Orioles vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Ivan Herrera (STL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Orioles vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Erick Fedde (STL) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
| Charlie Morton (BAL) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 51% (693/1,369) when ahead in the count since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.
Erick Fedde had a strike rate of just 50% (539/1,077) when behind in the count in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 58% (650/1,129) in two strike counts since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Erick Fedde had a strike rate of just 57% (522/908) in two strike counts in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton threw his curveball 47% of the time (705/1,517) vs left-handed batters in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton threw his curveball 35% of the time (228/658) when behind in the count in 2023 — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 96th Percentile.
Charlie Morton threw his curveball 36% of the time (253/706) on the first pitch of at-bats in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (2,683/6,410) since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 99th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Cardinals are just 10-157 (.060) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Cardinals are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .130.
The Cardinals were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Cardinals are 13-11 (.542) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Orioles (fourth best runs scored) today.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Orioles are just 3-14 (.176) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .507.
The Orioles are just 8-15 (.348) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Orioles are just 0-31 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .042.
The Orioles were 45-9 (.833) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals have scored first in 77% of their road games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
The Cardinals are batting .186 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .148.
Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 19% of it’s PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals hitters struck out just 351 times in 1,755 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .556 (513 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .685.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 35% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .157 on breaking pitches against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cardinals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 23% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Batters facing the Cardinals pitchers have struck out in the zone 46% of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 13% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Batters facing the Orioles pitchers have struck out in the zone 46% of the time this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles have won just just 0% of the time this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
More MLB Reading:
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