- The Padres are -150 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Padres Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Padres TV Channel: BSMW | MLBN | PDTV
The St. Louis Cardinals (+125) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-150) on Wednesday, April 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Cardinals are 3-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 3-5 ATS.
Cardinals vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Zack Thompson 0-1, 8.44 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Joe Musgrove 0-1, 9.73 ERA
Cardinals vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -160 | O 8.5 -120 | +125 |
| Padres | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 +100 | -150 |
Cardinals vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+9.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- Richie Palacios has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 away games (+8.10 Units / 59% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+7.45 Units / 124% ROI)
- Lance Lynn has hit the Strikeouts Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 39 games (+18.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+15.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+14.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 34 games (+12.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+12.35 Units / 38% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 79 away games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 155 games (+17.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 4-2 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 25.32% ROI).
- 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 24.17% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.15 Units / -2.19% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 3-5 against the Run Line (-1.03 Units / -12.58% ROI).
- 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.81 Units / -27.55% ROI
- 5-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.87 Units / 32.14% ROI
- 2-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.5 Units / -39.68% ROI
Padres vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gorman | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Arenado | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Donovan | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Scott II | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Winn | 0.5 +1450 | 0.5 -5000 |
Padres vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Musgrove | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -140 |
| Thompson | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Thompson has allowed a slugging percentage of .762 (16 Total Bases / 21 ABs) this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — fourth Percentile.
Zack Thompson has allowed an OPS of 1.110 (23 PA’s) this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .672 — fifth Percentile.
Zack Thompson has allowed a slugging percentage of .762 (16 Total Bases / 21 ABs) this season — 4th highest among in MLB; League Avg: .396 — seventh Percentile.
Zack Thompson has allowed a slugging percentage of .941 (16 Total Bases / 17 ABs) on pitches in the strike zone this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .439 — fourth Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Musgrove has struck out just 5% (1/20) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .405 (15-for-37) against Joe Musgrove this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — fourth Percentile.
Joe Musgrove has a strikeout rate of just 12% (5 SO in 43 PAs) this season — 13th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 11th Percentile.
Joe Musgrove has allowed an OBP of .465 (43 PA’s) this season — 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: .313 — sixth Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Cardinals were just 4-70 (.054) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Cardinals were just 4-77 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Cardinals were just 19-28 (.404) after a home loss in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Padres were just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.
The Padres were just 3-63 (.045) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Padres were just 1-66 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Padres are just 15-29 (.341) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .100 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .100 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Cardinals hitters have drawn 5 walks in 28 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .396 (28 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting just .107 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Padres hitters drew 494 walks in 4,481 PA’s (11%) against RHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres pitchers have walked 36 of 334 batters (11%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Padres pitchers have walked 10 of 72 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Padres vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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