- The Phillies are -175 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cardinals / Phillies TV Channel: FDMW | NSPA | MLBN
The St. Louis Cardinals (+145) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-175) on Monday, May 12, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Cardinals are 21-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 20-19 ATS.
Cardinals vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore 3-3, 3.08 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 4-1, 2.87 ERA
Cardinals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -155 | O 8 -105 | +145 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -115 | -175 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 61.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matthew Liberatore has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 away games (+3.90 Units / 98% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games at home (+9.65 Units / 107% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.20 Units / 54% ROI)
- Cristopher Sanchez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+7.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+7.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+6.40 Units / 21% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- No trends found
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+6.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.75 Units / 36% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 22-18 against the Run Line (-0.05 Units / -0.09% ROI).
- 21-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 4.45% ROI
- 22-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.25 Units / 9.66% ROI
- 16-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.4 Units / -19.09% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 20-19 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -1.15% ROI).
- 23-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 2.85% ROI
- 18-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.05 Units / -9.39% ROI
- 20-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 0.94% ROI
Phillies vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -325 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Weston Wilson (PHI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Phillies vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Liberatore (STL) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
| Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 72% (23/32) against Matthew Liberatore when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore has allowed an OPS of just .277 (33 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .998 — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore has allowed an OPS of just .277 (33 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 1.003 — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore has allowed an OPS of just .549 (160 PA’s) this season — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .688 — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cristopher Sanchez has a first-pitch in-zone of just 2% (21/911) since last season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 5% — fourth Percentile.
Cristopher Sanchez has a in-zone of just 2% (16/1,017) in two strike counts since last season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 4% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (380/653) against Cristopher Sanchez since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (136/221) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cardinals are 91-2 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Cardinals are 30-21 (.588) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Cardinals were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Cardinals are just 10-154 (.061) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Phillies were 54-27 (.667) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Phillies were 83-15 (.847) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Phillies are 36-29 (.554) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Cardinals (22nd best runs scored) today.
The Phillies are 67-33 (.670) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .252 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .199.
The Cardinals are batting .261 this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Cardinals are batting .204 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .360 (791 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies batted .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Phillies are batting .288 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Games involving the Phillies have gone OVER in 83% of their games (71.8% ROI) when underdogs in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .324 (9,701 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Batters facing the Cardinals pitchers have struck out in the zone 46% of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cardinals pitchers walked 95 of 1,431 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 21% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have struck out 28% of left-handed batters they faced this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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