- The Phillies are -160 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Phillies Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Phillies TV Channel: FDMW | NSPA
The St. Louis Cardinals (+135) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-160) on Tuesday, May 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA, PA.
This season, the Cardinals are 23-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 21-20 ATS.
Cardinals vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 4-1, 3.50 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 3-0, 2.11 ERA
Cardinals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -170 | O 7.5 -105 | +135 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +140 | U 7.5 -115 | -160 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+17.80 Units / 297% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.80 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Max Kepler has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+12.20 Units / 305% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.85 Units / 24% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in their last 9 games (+10.75 Units / 91% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+10.35 Units / 48% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 32 games (+6.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 42 games (+4.47 Units / 9% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+6.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 41 games (+5.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+5.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+5.05 Units / 22% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 24-18 against the Run Line (+1.95 Units / 3.27% ROI).
- 23-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.7 Units / 10.02% ROI
- 22-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.15 Units / 4.66% ROI
- 18-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.4 Units / -13.82% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 21-20 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -1.11% ROI).
- 24-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 1.62% ROI
- 18-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.15 Units / -13.59% ROI
- 22-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.4 Units / 5.34% ROI
Phillies vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Ivan Herrera (STL) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Phillies vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesus Luzardo (PHI) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
| Sonny Gray (STL) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of 35% (151/426) against Sonny Gray in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed an OPS of just .542 (612 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2023 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .683 — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 56% (10 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 game{NumGameSuffix}) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray allowed an OBP of just .160 (350 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 98th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .450 (9-for-20) against Jesus Luzardo on low fastballs this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .270 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 12% (2/16) against Jesus Luzardo over the past seven days (1 game) — lowest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OPS of just .375 (40 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .675 — 98th Percentile.
32% of Jesus Luzardo’s strikeouts are in the zone since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cardinals were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Cardinals are just 10-154 (.061) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Cardinals are 31-21 (.596) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Cardinals were 18-9 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Phillies are 5-12 (.294) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Phillies were 54-27 (.667) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Phillies were 83-15 (.847) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Phillies are 99-26 (.792) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .360 (791 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
The Cardinals are batting .201 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .150.
The Cardinals are batting .331 on changeups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 19% of it’s PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters had an OBP of .342 (1,915 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Phillies are batting .271 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Phillies batted .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Games involving the Phillies have gone OVER in 83% of their games (71.8% ROI) when underdogs in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Cardinals pitchers have struck out in the zone 46% of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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