- The Phillies are -185 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Phillies TV Channel: FDMW | NSPA
The St. Louis Cardinals (+150) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-185) on Wednesday, May 14, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:15pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA, PA.
This season, the Cardinals are 23-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 21-20 ATS.
Cardinals vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 3-3, 3.92 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 3-0, 2.11 ERA
Cardinals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -145 | O 8.5 -102 | +150 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +120 | U 8.5 -118 | -185 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 60.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Cardinals vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+17.80 Units / 297% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+14.50 Units / 290% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.15 Units / 102% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 73% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Max Kepler has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+12.20 Units / 305% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Aaron Nola has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Aaron Nola has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 49% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in their last 9 games (+10.75 Units / 91% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+10.35 Units / 48% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 32 games (+6.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 42 games (+4.47 Units / 9% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+6.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 41 games (+5.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+5.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+5.05 Units / 22% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 24-18 against the Run Line (+1.95 Units / 3.27% ROI).
- 23-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.7 Units / 10.02% ROI
- 22-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.15 Units / 4.66% ROI
- 18-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.4 Units / -13.82% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 21-20 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -1.11% ROI).
- 24-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 1.62% ROI
- 18-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.15 Units / -13.59% ROI
- 22-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.4 Units / 5.34% ROI
Phillies vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Max Kepler (PHI) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Phillies vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesus Luzardo (PHI) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Erick Fedde (STL) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -155 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sonny Gray had a strikeout rate of 58% (203/350) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of 35% (151/426) against Sonny Gray in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 56% (10 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 game{NumGameSuffix}) — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 56% (10 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 game{NumGameSuffix}) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Nola has a in-zone of just 12% (18/150) when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 41% (29/70) against Aaron Nola when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola threw his curveball 36% of the time (205/565) when behind in the count in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has a in-zone of just 12% (18/150) when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cardinals are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .117.
The Cardinals are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .083.
The Cardinals are just 16-143 (.101) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .139.
The Cardinals are just 56-59 (.487) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Phillies (fifth best runs scored) today.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Phillies are 5-12 (.294) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .117.
The Phillies are just 15-24 (.385) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Phillies were 54-27 (.667) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Phillies are 36-29 (.554) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Cardinals (22nd best runs scored) today.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters struck out just 351 times in 1,755 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Cardinals are batting .288 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 19% of it’s PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Cardinals are batting .331 on changeups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters had an OBP of .342 (1,915 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .341 (2,377 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Phillies hitters struck out 471 times in 1,869 PA’s (25%) against LHP in 2023 — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Phillies batted .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Batters facing the Cardinals pitchers have struck out in the zone 46% of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 25% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies pitchers had a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Cardinals vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
