- The Cardinals are -130 favorites vs the Rangers
- Cardinals vs Rangers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Cardinals / Rangers TV Channel: KDAF | FDMW | KMOV
The St. Louis Cardinals (-130) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+110) on Friday, May 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Cardinals are 32-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 28-28 ATS.
Cardinals vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore 3-3, 2.73 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jack Leiter 3-2, 4.17 ERA
Cardinals vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 -102 | -130 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -160 | U 8.5 -118 | +110 |
Cardinals vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+14.50 Units / 362% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+9.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Matthew Liberatore has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.05 Units / 77% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+7.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.35 Units / 69% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+14.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+8.90 Units / 89% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+8.50 Units / 32% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 23 games (+16.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 games (+14.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 56 games (+7.72 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 away games (+5.75 Units / 31% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 57 games (+20.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 57 games (+20.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+10.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 26 games at home (+8.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+4.35 Units / 10% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 34-22 against the Run Line (+7.75 Units / 9.8% ROI).
- 32-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.6 Units / 13.67% ROI
- 29-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 4.23% ROI
- 24-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.1 Units / -13.11% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 28-28 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -3.54% ROI).
- 27-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -10.15% ROI
- 17-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.95 Units / -40.47% ROI
- 39-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.1 Units / 31.53% ROI
Rangers vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -400 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Rangers vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Sam Haggerty (TEX) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ivan Herrera (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Rangers vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Rangers vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Liberatore (STL) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Liberatore has walked 2% of right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore’s K:BB ratio is 12.7 (38/3) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.3 — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore has a strike rate of 71% (440/623) against right-handed batters this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 94th Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore has walked 3% of batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
57% of Jack Leiter’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Leiter has a strike rate of just 55% (119/218) in two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 10% (6/57) against Jack Leiter’s non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Jack Leiter has walked 13% of batters this month (5 games) — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Cardinals are 101-2 (.981) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Cardinals are just 0-17 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Cardinals are 22-14 (.611) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Cardinals are just 10-158 (.060) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Rangers are just 11-73 (.131) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .193.
The Rangers were just 10-42 (.192) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Rangers are just 1-14 (.067) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .184.
The Rangers were 39-8 (.830) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting .183 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .148.
Cardinals hitters struck out just 351 times in 1,755 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals hitters slugged just .507 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Cardinals batted .179 with two-strikes in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .287 (1,484 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Rangers are batting just .126 on changeups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Rangers hitters are slugging just .330 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .613 (1,026 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .168 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .187 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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