- The Reds are -150 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Reds TV Channel: FDOH | FDMX
The St. Louis Cardinals (+125) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-150) on Wednesday, April 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH, OH.
This season, the Cardinals are 12-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 17-12 ATS.
Cardinals vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Steven Matz 2-0, 1.80 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 2-0, 3.60 ERA
Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -165 | O 9 +100 | +125 |
| Reds | -1.5 +135 | U 9 -120 | -150 |
Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+9.35 Units / 75% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 5 away games (+8.00 Units / 160% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+21.70 Units / 271% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+15.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+14.60 Units / 57% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+14.15 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.90 Units / 38% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.20 Units / 59% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 19 games (+1.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+1.85 Units / 10% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.35 Units / 21% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 13-16 against the Run Line (-8.15 Units / -19.31% ROI).
- 12-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -17.18% ROI
- 15-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.65 Units / 5.15% ROI
- 12-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -14.33% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 17-12 against the Run Line (+2.2 Units / 5.29% ROI).
- 16-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 10.33% ROI
- 13-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.5 Units / -10.95% ROI
- 15-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.75 Units / 2.35% ROI
Reds vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Matt McLain (CIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Reds vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Lux (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Noelvi Marte (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| TJ Friedl (CIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
Reds vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Gavin Lux (CIN) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Noelvi Marte (CIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Reds vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -118 |
| Brady Singer (CIN) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 14% (74/529) against Miles Mikolas in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 17% (265/1,590) against Miles Mikolas in 2023 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Miles Mikolas allowed a slugging percentage of .554 (150 Total Bases / 271 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (246/1,530) against Miles Mikolas since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer has thrown inside pitches 58% of the time (171/296) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted .372 (32-for-86) against Brady Singer’s elevated fastballs in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .229 — 0 Percentile.
Brady Singer threw his slider 58% of the time (470/813) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown inside pitches 50% of the time (70/140) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cardinals are just 2-12 (.143) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
The Cardinals were 18-9 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Cardinals are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .080.
The Cardinals are just 53-59 (.473) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Reds (16th best runs scored) today.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 14-27 (.341) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 6-16 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds were just 8-18 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting .216 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .150.
The Cardinals are batting .379 on changeups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
The Cardinals have a winning percentage of just 14% on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 19% of it’s PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Reds hitters are slugging just .156 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Reds are batting just .118 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
The Reds batted just .226 against LHP in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have an ERA of 5.94 (119.2 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.
Batters facing the Cardinals pitchers have struck out in the zone 46% of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Reds pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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