Cardinals vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 29

Cincinnati Reds' Jonathan India celebrates after hitting a home run against the Houston Astros during the eighth inning of a baseball game Sunday, June 18, 2023, in Houston.
(AP Photo/David J. Phillip)
  • The Cardinals are +100 favorites vs the Reds
  • Cardinals vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
  • Cardinals / Reds TV Channel: BSOH | BSMW | MLBN

The St. Louis Cardinals (+105) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-125) on Wednesday, May 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Cardinals are 26-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 31-24 ATS.

Cardinals vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 0-1, 6.31 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 2-3, 4.65 ERA

Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -185O 9.5 -115+105
Reds -1.5 +150U 9.5 -105-125

Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Cardinals vs Reds and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 13 away games (+13.60 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+10.80 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+9.50 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.15 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Stuart Fairchild has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+14.00 Units / 140% ROI)
  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 41 games (+12.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Luke Maile has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Nick Martini has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+8.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Stuart Fairchild has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+7.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+6.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 27 games at home (+12.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+10.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 37 games (+8.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 67% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 26-27 against the Run Line (-3.4 Units / -4.86% ROI).

  • 26-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -7.89% ROI
  • 23-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.8 Units / -10.08% ROI
  • 26-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 1.76% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 31-24 against the Run Line (+4.75 Units / 6.5% ROI).

  • 24-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.25 Units / -11.26% ROI
  • 25-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.4 Units / -10.51% ROI
  • 28-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 0.58% ROI

Reds vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Gorman (STL) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Matt Carpenter (STL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Brendan Donovan (STL) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Reds vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
TJ Friedl (CIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Reds vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Jeimer Candelario (CIN) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Nolan Gorman (STL) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Reds vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andre Pallante (STL) 2.5 -175 2.5 +135
Frankie Montas (CIN) 4.5 +105 4.5 -140

Opponents have a groundball rate of 75% (198/264) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .369 (48-for-130) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .229 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 75% (198/264) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 78% (120/154) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Frankie Montas has struck out just 12% (12/99) of left-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 58% of Frankie Montas’ fastballs (217/372) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 99th Percentile.

Frankie Montas has a strikeout rate of just 31% (28 SO in 90 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 56% (386/696) against Frankie Montas when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 98th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Cardinals are 28-12 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 51-53 (.490) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.

The Cardinals are just 20-53 (.274) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .383.

The Cardinals are 31-23 (.574) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Reds are just 24-27 (.471) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.

The Reds are just 9-16 (.360) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 58-43 (.574) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.

The Reds are 23-10 (.697) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .574.

The Cardinals are batting just .235 against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .620 (616 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.

The Cardinals are batting just .210 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .379 against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.

The Reds are batting just .127 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.

The Reds are batting just .102 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.

Reds hitters have 23 extra-base hits out of 45 total hits (51%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .221 (1,071 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The average home run distance against the Reds pitchers this season is 383.9 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 395.9

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .295 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.

Reds vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
  • Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
  • Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
  • TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
  • Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
  • Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
  • Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
  • Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
  • Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out

Bet now on Cardinals vs Reds and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.