Cardinals vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 1

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(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 01, 2024, 11:02 AM
  • The Cardinals are -105 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Cardinals vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Cardinals / Tigers TV Channel: BSDT | MLBN | BSMW

The St. Louis Cardinals (-110) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-110) on Wednesday, May 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Cardinals are 14-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 13-17 ATS.

Cardinals vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 2-3, 5.97 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Kenta Maeda 0-1, 5.96 ERA

Cardinals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals-1.5 +150O 9 -110-110
Tigers +1.5 -185U 9 -110-110

Cardinals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+15.00 Units / 375% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.90 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+11.85 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+10.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.70 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+16.10 Units / 230% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.90 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.25 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+9.55 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+7.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 57 away games (+5.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 135 games (+12.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.89 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+8.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.39 Units / 74% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 17-13 against the Run Line (+2.65 Units / 6.46% ROI).

  • 14-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -7.84% ROI
  • 10-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.95 Units / -30.06% ROI
  • 18-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.1 Units / 21.55% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 13-17 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -9.48% ROI).

  • 17-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 9.22% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -3.76% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -4.81% ROI

Tigers vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Willson Contreras (STL) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Nolan Gorman (STL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Tigers vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Willson Contreras (STL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Javier Baez (DET) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Tigers vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Willson Contreras (STL) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210

Tigers vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .534 (31 Total Bases / 58 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .254 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .293 (17-for-58) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — first Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed an OPS of 1.154 (54 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .640 — second Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .765 (39 Total Bases / 51 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .365 — first Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

15 of Kenta Maeda’s 53 breaking pitch strikeouts (28%) have been backdoor since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 13% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% (31/124) against Kenta Maeda on sliders since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 41% — second Percentile.

Kenta Maeda has allowed a slugging percentage of .511 (23 Total Bases / 45 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .257 — first Percentile.

Kenta Maeda has allowed a slugging percentage of .714 (30 Total Bases / 42 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .390 — second Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Cardinals are 28-11 (.718) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 19-28 (.404) after a road win since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .490.

The Cardinals are just 36-49 (.424) after a win since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .507.

The Cardinals are 12-7 (.632) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Tigers are 40-12 (.769) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .614.

The Tigers are just 21-89 (.191) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.

The Tigers are just 79-99 (.444) at home since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.

The Tigers are 64-23 (.736) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .311 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .385.

The Cardinals are batting just .191 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Cardinals have an average HR distance of 411.0 feet this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 395.7.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .605 (297 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .703.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (9,952 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .355 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .646 (9,952 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .660 (13,086 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Tigers won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.81 (827.2 IP) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.37.

Tigers pitchers have walked 27 of 485 batters (6%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Tigers vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
  • Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
  • Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
  • Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
  • Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
  • Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
  • Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.