Cubs vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 13

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Atlanta Braves' Austin Riley in action during Game 4 of a baseball NL Division Series against the Philadelphia Phillies, Thursday, Oct. 12, 2023, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Chris Szagola)
AP Photo/Chris Szagola
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 13, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Braves are -145 favorites vs the Cubs
  • Cubs vs Braves Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Cubs / Braves TV Channel: BSSO | MARQ | MLBN

The Chicago Cubs (+120) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-145) on Monday, May 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Cubs are 24-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 19-18 ATS.

Cubs vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 5-0, 1.09 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 2-1, 1.54 ERA

Cubs vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -175O 7.5 -105+120
Braves -1.5 +145U 7.5 -115-145

Cubs vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Christopher Morel has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 13 games (+19.55 Units / 150% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+14.95 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Michael Busch has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+14.15 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+13.80 Units / 125% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 away games (+10.30 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 23 games (+18.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in his last 15 games at home (+15.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+14.70 Units / 108% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+13.40 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+12.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 66 games (+15.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+13.64 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.61 Units / 5% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 24-17 against the Run Line (+4.05 Units / 6.98% ROI).

  • 24-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.1 Units / 16.31% ROI
  • 18-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.35 Units / -14.02% ROI
  • 22-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 5.01% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 19-18 against the Run Line (+1.35 Units / 3.19% ROI).

  • 24-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 5.98% ROI
  • 12-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.9 Units / -31.93% ROI
  • 23-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.9 Units / 24.09% ROI

Braves vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +270 0.5 -350
Adam Duvall (ATL) 0.5 +290 0.5 -375
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Cody Bellinger (CHC) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Ronald Acuna (ATL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550

Braves vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ozzie Albies (ATL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Nico Hoerner (CHC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Ronald Acuna (ATL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185

Braves vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Adam Duvall (ATL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Cody Bellinger (CHC) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Christopher Morel (CHC) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Braves vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shota Imanaga (CHC) 5.5 +100 5.5 -135
Reynaldo Lopez (ATL) 5.5 +120 5.5 -155

Opponents have a swing rate of 54% (219/403) against Shota Imanaga in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Shota Imanaga has allowed an OPS of just .274 (63 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .668 — 100th Percentile.

Shota Imanaga has allowed a slugging percentage of just .131 (8 Total Bases / 61 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 — 100th Percentile.

Shota Imanaga has allowed an OPS of just .471 (160 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .678 — 97th Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Reynaldo Lopez has walked 18 of 369 right-handed batters (5%) since the 2022 season — tied for 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .171 (12-for-70) against Reynaldo Lopez on low fastballs since the 2022 season — 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .271 — 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .112 (17-for-152) against Reynaldo Lopez with two-strikes since last season — tied for 8th best among in MLB; League Avg: .159 — 92nd Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has struck out 31% (48/154) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — tied for 9th best among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 90th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Cubs are just 16-29 (.356) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.

The Cubs are 24-19 (.558) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .427.

The Cubs are 48-52 (.480) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .412.

The Cubs are just 39-39 (.500) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Braves are 34-53 (.391) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .212.

The Braves are 29-36 (.446) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Braves are 49-46 (.516) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.

The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .425.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .836 (313 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Cubs hitters are slugging .493 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .372.

The Cubs are batting .271 against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .253.

Cubs hitters are slugging .471 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .391.

Braves hitters are slugging .581 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .448.

Braves hitters are slugging .506 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.

Braves hitters are slugging .463 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.

Braves hitters are slugging .478 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 19 double plays in 318 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Cubs pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 57%.

Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.

Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.9 MPH this season (836 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.8

The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The Braves have won 75% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Braves vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
  • Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
  • Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
  • Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.