- The Diamondbacks are -145 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cubs / Diamondbacks TV Channel: MARQ | DBTV | MLBN
The Chicago Cubs (+120) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-145) on Monday, April 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Cubs are 7-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 9-6 ATS.
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Ben Brown 0-0, 6.10 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly 2-0, 2.29 ERA
Cubs vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 +100 | +120 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +140 | U 8.5 -120 | -145 |
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 8-5 against the Run Line (+0.75 Units / 3.89% ROI).
- 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 11.59% ROI
- 8-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.5 Units / 17.24% ROI
- 5-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.6 Units / -25.53% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 9-6 against the Run Line (+2.65 Units / 14.36% ROI).
- 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -12.62% ROI
- 8-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.89% ROI
- 7-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -9.29% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Diamondbacks vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly (ARI) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -160 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ben Brown has struck out 32% (8/25) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 8th best among in NL; League Avg: 23% — 90th Percentile.
Ben Brown has struck out 32% (8/25) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 8th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 23% — 92nd Percentile.
Ben Brown has allowed a slugging percentage of .423 (11 Total Bases / 26 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 14th highest among among 102 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .242 — 13th Percentile.
Ben Brown has thrown elevated pitches 51% of the time (22/43) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th highest among in NL; League Avg: 30% — 95th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Merrill Kelly has allowed a slugging percentage of just .091 (3 Total Bases / 33 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among in NL; League Avg: .238 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (139/220) against Merrill Kelly on non-fastballs since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .091 (3-for-33) against Merrill Kelly with two-strikes this season — tied for 7th best among in NL; League Avg: .159 — 88th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has allowed a slugging percentage of just .182 (6 Total Bases / 33 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .388 — 94th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Cubs were just 7-12 (.368) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 8-13 (.381) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Cubs are 52-29 (.642) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .590.
The Cubs were just 10-22 (.312) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Diamondbacks are just 125-23 (.845) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Diamondbacks are just 141-14 (.910) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Diamondbacks are just 78-8 (.907) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Diamondbacks are just 34-15 (.694) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .457 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .378.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .383 (235 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Cubs hitters are slugging .456 against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Cubs hitters have drawn 26 walks in 138 PA’s (19%) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .442 (169 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .686.
The Diamondbacks are batting .303 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 37 strikeouts in 256 PA’s (14%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 17 of 132 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 42 of 601 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 95 times since last season — most in MLB.
Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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