- The Diamondbacks are -130 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Cubs / Diamondbacks TV Channel: MARQ | DBTV
The Chicago Cubs (+110) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-130) on Wednesday, April 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Cubs are 10-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 10-8 ATS.
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jordan Wicks 0-2, 5.54 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 1-0, 6.49 ERA
Cubs vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -185 | O 9 -110 | +110 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +150 | U 9 -110 | -130 |
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jordan Wicks has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.20 Units / 55% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- Yan Gomes has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Yan Gomes has hit the Total Bases Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.40 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Evan Longoria has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Earned Runs Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- Zac Gallen has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Kevin Newman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.30 Units / 51% ROI)
- Kevin Newman has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+8.45 Units / 31% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+7.75 Units / 9% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 12-5 against the Run Line (+5 Units / 19.8% ROI).
- 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 21.15% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 1.32% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -8.89% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 10-8 against the Run Line (+2.05 Units / 9.56% ROI).
- 9-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -8.63% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -5.42% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -2.84% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Yan Gomes (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Diamondbacks vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have chased just 2 of Jordan Wicks’ 25 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 8%) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 0 Percentile.
Jordan Wicks has walked 8 of 42 batters (19%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 36% (37/104) against Jordan Wicks this season — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 93rd Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 76% of Jordan Wicks’ pitches in the zone (85/112) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 97th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Pfaadt has a first-pitch strike rate of 77% (57/74) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 19% (4/21) against Brandon Pfaadt this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 49% (36/74) against Brandon Pfaadt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has a strike rate of 74% (109/148) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Cubs are 52-29 (.642) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .590.
The Cubs are just 34-38 (.472) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Cubs were just 10-22 (.312) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.
The Cubs are 36-17 (.679) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Diamondbacks are just 125-23 (.845) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Diamondbacks are just 141-15 (.904) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Diamondbacks are just 78-9 (.897) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Diamondbacks are 21-129 (.140) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .546 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .380.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .888 (120 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Cubs hitters slugged .456 against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Cubs hitters slugged .509 in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .376.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have just 39 strikeouts in 271 PA’s (14%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .309 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Diamondbacks are batting .328 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Diamondbacks hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 20 of 153 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 71 of 659 batters (11%) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 32 of 236 batters (14%) over the past seven days (6 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Cubs have won 36% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 50 of 692 batters (7%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 52 times this season — tied for most in MLB.
Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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