- The Cubs are -175 favorites vs the Marlins
- Cubs vs Marlins Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Cubs / Marlins TV Channel: FDFL | MARQ
The Chicago Cubs (-175) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+145) on Monday, May 19, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Cubs are 28-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 23-22 ATS.
Cubs vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Ben Brown 3-3, 4.79 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera 0-1, 5.53 ERA
Cubs vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 -110 | O 9 -120 | -175 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -110 | U 9 +100 | +145 |
Cubs vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s MLB game with 60.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 away games (+28.65 Units / 287% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+12.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.80 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Liam Hicks has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+33.50 Units / 670% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+9.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Liam Hicks has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Liam Hicks has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.50 Units / 24% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+15.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 43 games (+15.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 42 games (+11.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 42 games (+8.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 41 games (+7.95 Units / 13% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games (+4.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+3.05 Units / 60% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 25-22 against the Run Line (+2.67 Units / 4.5% ROI).
- 28-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.85 Units / 8.84% ROI
- 27-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.65 Units / 17.04% ROI
- 17-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.2 Units / -25.07% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 23-22 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -0.73% ROI).
- 18-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -4.44% ROI
- 27-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.85 Units / 13.71% ROI
- 18-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.6 Units / -23.65% ROI
Marlins vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Connor Norby (MIA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Marlins vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Marlins vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Carson Kelly (CHC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Marlins vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Brown (CHC) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +115 |
| Edward Cabrera (MIA) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ben Brown has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (280/732) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.
Ben Brown has a in-zone of 61% (153/249) this month (3 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — 99th Percentile.
Ben Brown has thrown his curveball 56% of the time (122/220) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total CB; League Avg: 18% — 98th Percentile.
Ben Brown has thrown his curveball 40% of the time (150/380) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total CB; League Avg: 13% — 98th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Edward Cabrera has walked 13% of batters since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Edward Cabrera walked 19 of 109 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 13% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Edward Cabrera walked 23 of 171 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Cubs are 59-38 (.608) after a loss since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .502.
The Cubs are 70-31 (.693) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .625.
The Cubs are 14-5 (.737) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Cubs are 16-1 (.941) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .740.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Marlins are just 11-3 (.786) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .911.
The Marlins were just 14-31 (.311) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Marlins were just 30-51 (.370) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Marlins are just 56-13 (.812) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .489 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .375.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .839 (425 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .685.
Cubs hitters are slugging .253 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .199.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .807 (879 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Marlins were just 4-17 (.190) against the run line (-61.9% ROI) when slight moneyline favorites (-101 to -149) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
The Marlins are batting just .139 against LHP this month (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers had an ERA of 3.08 (733.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Cubs pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Cubs allowed 3.41 runs per game (276/81) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .220 against Cubs pitchers in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 6.30 (168.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
The Marlins have allowed 6.30 runs per game (126/20) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
More MLB Reading:
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