- The Padres are -170 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Cubs / Padres TV Channel: MARQ | PDTV | MLBN
The Chicago Cubs (+135) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-165) on Monday, April 14, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Cubs are 11-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 11-5 ATS.
Cubs vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 1-1, 6.07 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 1-1, 7.98 ERA
Cubs vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -165 | O 7.5 -115 | +135 |
| Padres | -1.5 +140 | U 7.5 -105 | -165 |
Cubs vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s MLB game with 59.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+14.30 Units / 238% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+12.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+14.30 Units / 143% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+13.75 Units / 63% ROI)
- Jose Iglesias has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.50 Units / 39% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 14 games (+12.40 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+9.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 83 away games (+7.40 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 83 away games (+7.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 102 of their last 168 games (+22.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 88 of their last 168 games (+7.90 Units / 4% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.10 Units / 23% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 11-7 against the Run Line (+5.2 Units / 22.61% ROI).
- 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 19.54% ROI
- 12-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.7 Units / 34.36% ROI
- 5-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.3 Units / -41.29% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 11-5 against the Run Line (+6 Units / 29.2% ROI).
- 13-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.3 Units / 45.58% ROI
- 7-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -9.94% ROI
- 8-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.15 Units / 0.85% ROI
Padres vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Padres vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jose Iglesias (SD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Gavin Sheets (SD) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Padres vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -285 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -285 |
| Gavin Sheets (SD) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -285 |
Padres vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon (CHC) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
| Dylan Cease (SD) | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -118 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has allowed an OBP of just .228 (149 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .305 — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed a slugging percentage of .893 (25 Total Bases / 28 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .356 — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .393 (11-for-28) against Jameson Taillon this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — first Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed a slugging percentage of .760 (19 Total Bases / 25 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .356 — first Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Cease allowed an OBP of just .269 (757 PAs) last season — tied for seventh best among qualified SPs– 89th Percentile. He allowed an OBP of .332 (784 PAs) in the 2023 season — third worst among qualified SPs– sixth Percentile.
Dylan Cease has thrown breaking pitches 55% of the time (1,886/3,451) since last season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has walked 67 of 611 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — third Percentile.
Dylan Cease has thrown breaking pitches 60% of the time (1,002/1,682) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Cubs are 7-3 (.700) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
The Cubs are 35-11 (.761) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .640.
The Cubs are 50-35 (.588) after a loss since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .505.
The Cubs are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .029.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Padres are 13-3 (.812) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres are 137-21 (.867) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Padres are 84-5 (.944) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Padres are 15-58 (.205) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .875 (424 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .661.
Cubs hitters are slugging .521 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Cubs have scored 53 runs with two outs this season — most in MLB.
The Cubs have scored 116 runs this season — most in MLB.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting .313 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .228.
Padres hitters struck out just 278 times in 1,617 PA’s (17%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters have just 313 strikeouts in 1,825 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres batted .201 with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 143 of 1,596 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers walked 127 of 1,437 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers had an ERA of 3.08 (733.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Cubs pitchers have walked 16 of 159 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.2 MPH since the 2023 season (8,238 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Padres pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Padres pitchers have an ERA of 1.10 (90.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.44.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Cubs vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
