- The Cubs are -145 favorites vs the Padres
- Cubs vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Cubs / Padres TV Channel: MARQ | PDTV | MLBN
The Chicago Cubs (-160) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+135) on Tuesday, April 15, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Cubs are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 0-0 ATS.
Cubs vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 2-1, 2.70 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 1-1, 1.72 ERA
Cubs vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +105 | O 8 -115 | -160 |
| Padres | +1.5 -130 | U 8 -105 | +135 |
Cubs vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 away games (+14.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 75 games (+10.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 41 away games (+6.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 51 games (+5.60 Units / 9% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 92 games (+22.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 52 games at home (+7.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 71 of their last 137 games (+5.90 Units / 3% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+3.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games at home (+3.40 Units / 7% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Padres vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Padres vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Arraez (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Padres vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Padres vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shota Imanaga (CHC) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .025 (1-for-40) against Shota Imanaga with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .152 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 52% (1,043/2,016) against Shota Imanaga in non-two strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters swung at 56% of Shota Imanaga’s pitches (1,442/2,591) in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has a strikeout rate of just 11% (4 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Randy Vasquez has walked 8 of 31 right-handed batters (26%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Randy Vasquez has walked 7 of 27 batters (26%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Randy Vasquez has walked 12 of 62 batters (19%) this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Randy Vasquez has walked 8 of 31 right-handed batters (26%) this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Cubs are 35-11 (.761) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Cubs are 7-4 (.636) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
The Cubs are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .028.
The Cubs are just 148-22 (.871) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .901.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Padres are 14-3 (.824) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres are 25-17 (.595) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Cubs (10th best runs allowed) today.
The Padres are 66-40 (.623) after a win since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Padres were 55-38 (.591) after a win in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .517 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .363.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .870 (465 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .662.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .364 at home since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Cubs have scored 7.27 runs per game (80/11) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.94.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have just 873 strikeouts in 4,912 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters struck out just 799 times in 4,486 PA’s (18%) against RHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres are batting .203 with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Padres batted .275 on the road in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers walked 127 of 1,437 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 145 of 1,604 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.14 (805.0 IP) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.93.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers in 2023 — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Padres pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Padres pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
More MLB Reading:
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