- The Phillies are -130 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Phillies Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Cubs / Phillies TV Channel: MARQ | NSPA
The Chicago Cubs (+110) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-130) on Monday, June 9, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Cubs are 40-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 31-33 ATS.
Cubs vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd 5-3, 3.00 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 6-2, 2.96 ERA
Cubs vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -200 | O 7.5 -102 | +110 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +165 | U 7.5 -118 | -130 |
Cubs vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Busch has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+12.90 Units / 215% ROI)
- Matthew Boyd has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.30 Units / 51% ROI)
- Matt Shaw has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.50 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.35 Units / 53% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games at home (+9.30 Units / 93% ROI)
- Edmundo Sosa has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.35 Units / 49% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 63 games (+14.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 59 games (+12.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 61 games (+9.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 60 games (+6.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.70 Units / 50% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 65 games (+10.24 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 47 games (+8.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.16 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 42 games (+5.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 61 games (+5.33 Units / 7% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 34-31 against the Run Line (+3.02 Units / 3.79% ROI).
- 40-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.1 Units / 10.44% ROI
- 34-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.75 Units / 6.72% ROI
- 27-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.7 Units / -14.79% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 31-33 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -5.93% ROI).
- 37-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -0.66% ROI
- 29-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.5 Units / -13.24% ROI
- 35-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 4.7% ROI
Phillies vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Phillies vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Edmundo Sosa (PHI) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Phillies vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Phillies vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 6.5 -150 | 6.5 +115 |
| Matthew Boyd (CHC) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Boyd has thrown his changeup 36% of the time (70/195) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has a strikeout rate of just 11% (6 SO in 54 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fifth Percentile.
71% of Matthew Boyd’s fastball strikeouts are elevated this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 52% — 89th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .209 (31-for-148) against Matthew Boyd with two-strikes this season — tied for 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — 11th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OBP of just .216 (487 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 97th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler allowed an OBP of just .201 (368 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler allowed an OPS of just .434 (369 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .665 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted just .161 (56-for-348) against Zack Wheeler in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cubs are 2-20 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .042.
The Cubs are 18-5 (.783) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .492.
The Cubs are 16-2 (.889) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .622.
The Cubs are 48-12 (.800) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .635.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Phillies are 8-15 (.348) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .137.
The Phillies were 54-27 (.667) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Phillies are just 9-22 (.290) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Phillies were 28-22 (.560) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Braves (15th best runs scored) today.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .816 (1,359 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Cubs hitters are slugging .484 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Cubs hitters have drawn walks in 3% of their PA’s against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs hitters are slugging .428 against LHP since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies batted .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .742 (10,274 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Games involving the Phillies have gone OVER in 83% of their games (71.8% ROI) when underdogs in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Phillies hitters had an OBP of .342 (1,915 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 5% of batters over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Batters facing the Cubs pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 46% of the time this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cubs pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Phillies have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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