- The Rangers are -125 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs / Rangers TV Channel: MARQ | BSSW
The Chicago Cubs () visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers () on Saturday, March 30, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Cubs are 0-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 0-1 ATS.
Cubs vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | O | ||
| Rangers | U |
Cubs vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 48 games (+20.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+14.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 42 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Justin Steele has hit the Strikeouts Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Evan Carter has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 33 games (+14.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Evan Carter has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 33 games (+13.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+10.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+10.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+10.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 171 games (+28.43 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 171 games (+26.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 171 games (+24.63 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games at home (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games at home (+14.68 Units / 16% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 1-0 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 52.63% ROI).
- 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 86.96% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 0-1 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -100% ROI).
- 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 80% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 86.96% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.2 MPH (449 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 89.2 — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks located 73% of his pitches away (827/1,135) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.6 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — first Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks threw his changeup 52% of the time (272/524) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cody Bradford has not walked a batter in his last 16.1 innings pitched — Sean Manaea has the longest active streak at 23.2.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Cubs are just 33-38 (.465) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Cubs were just 7-12 (.368) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs were 27-4 (.871) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Cubs were just 10-22 (.312) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Rangers were 32-13 (.711) after a home win in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Rangers are just 77-51 (.602) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Rangers are just 2-140 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Rangers are just 6-128 (.044) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .092.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters averaged 3.99 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters had an OBP of .337 (3,050 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Cubs hitters slugged .509 in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .376.
Cubs hitters are averaging 3.96 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .788 (1,624 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Rangers hitters slugged .456 against RHP in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .220 against Cubs pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 43% of their games since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .233 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Rangers pitchers since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 250 of 2,889 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Rangers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 44% of their games in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rangers vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, Out
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
- Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Calf, Out
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
- Corey Seager (Texas Rangers): Groin, Out
- Codi Heuer (Chicago Cubs): Elbow, Out
- Brad Boxberger (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, Out
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