- The Rays are -145 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Cubs / Rays TV Channel: MARQ | BSUN
The Chicago Cubs (+120) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-145) on Tuesday, June 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Cubs are 32-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 27-39 ATS.
Cubs vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 3-2, 3.47 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 3-4, 4.15 ERA
Cubs vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -175 | O 7.5 -105 | +120 |
| Rays | -1.5 +145 | U 7.5 -115 | -145 |
Cubs vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+13.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 46 games (+9.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+9.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 30 games (+8.85 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.75 Units / 61% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.95 Units / 47% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jose Siri has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 54 games (+5.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 28 away games (+3.10 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 33 away games (+0.20 Units / 0% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 43 of their last 63 games (+22.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games at home (+6.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games at home (+4.70 Units / 14% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 33-33 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -8.29% ROI).
- 32-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -2.28% ROI
- 30-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -10.4% ROI
- 34-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.2 Units / 1.66% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 27-39 against the Run Line (-14.5 Units / -17.03% ROI).
- 31-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.3 Units / -15.62% ROI
- 34-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.07% ROI
- 31-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.55 Units / -9% ROI
Rays vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Rays vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mike Tauchman (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Rays vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Eflin (TB) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -110 |
| Jameson Taillon (CHC) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has walked 22 of 848 right-handed batters (3%) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (4/20) against Jameson Taillon — tied for 4th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .444 (8-for-18) against Jameson Taillon when going through the lineup the second time in a game — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .225 — third Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 12 of 440 right-handed batters (3%) since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin has walked 10 of 378 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 12 of 372 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 93rd Percentile.
Zach Eflin has not walked any of the 99 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 4 of 261 batters (1%) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 99th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Cubs are 13-2 (.867) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .631.
The Cubs are just 3-10 (.231) after a road win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Cubs are just 43-42 (.506) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Cubs are just 14-21 (.400) on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Rays are just 9-21 (.300) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Rays are just 16-35 (.314) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Rays are 20-10 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 69-45 (.605) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have 79 extra-base hits out of 249 total hits (just 32%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .261 (4,725 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Cubs are batting just .201 with two outs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.
The Cubs have a winning percentage of just 40% on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 153 strikeouts in 609 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays hitters are slugging just .339 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Rays hitters have 175 strikeouts in 538 PA’s (33%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .651 (1,415 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 55 of 586 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 32 double plays in 479 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH in the 2023 season (4,045 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,009 of 14,466 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 625 of 8,536 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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