- The Cubs are -115 favorites vs the Rays
- Cubs vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Cubs / Rays TV Channel: MARQ | BSUN | MLBN
The Chicago Cubs (-115) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-105) on Thursday, June 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Cubs are 33-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 28-40 ATS.
Cubs vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele 0-3, 3.66 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 1-4, 5.18 ERA
Cubs vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +145 | O 7.5 -105 | -115 |
| Rays | +1.5 -175 | U 7.5 -115 | -105 |
Cubs vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+15.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 away games (+15.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+11.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 40 games (+10.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.25 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Siri has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+13.60 Units / 227% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+10.75 Units / 73% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.75 Units / 61% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.95 Units / 47% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 42 games (+14.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 56 games (+7.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 66 games (+0.15 Units / 0% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 44 of their last 65 games (+22.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games at home (+6.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.65 Units / 10% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 34-34 against the Run Line (-8.55 Units / -8.83% ROI).
- 33-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -2.22% ROI
- 30-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.75 Units / -12.97% ROI
- 36-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.2 Units / 4.3% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 28-40 against the Run Line (-13.9 Units / -15.95% ROI).
- 32-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.45 Units / -15.35% ROI
- 34-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -2.95% ROI
- 33-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -6.06% ROI
Rays vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Rays vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rays vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Amed Rosario (TB) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taj Bradley (TB) | 5.5 -165 | 5.5 +125 |
| Justin Steele (CHC) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (621/1,415) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has a strikeout rate of 44% (8 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown fastballs 71% of the time (1,634/2,291) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown fastballs 73% of the time (1,034/1,415) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 52% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taj Bradley has struck out 33% (100/303) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 19% (18/93) against Taj Bradley when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Taj Bradley has allowed 6 home runs with two-strikes this season — tied for most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Taj Bradley has allowed a slugging percentage of .800 (20 Total Bases / 25 ABs) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .294 — first Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Cubs are just 3-11 (.214) after a road win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.
The Cubs are just 16-33 (.327) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Cubs are 13-2 (.867) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .628.
The Cubs are just 15-22 (.405) on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Rays are just 16-36 (.308) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Rays are just 9-22 (.290) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Rays are 28-48 (.368) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Rays are just 5-6 (.455) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .458 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .370.
Cubs hitters have a groundball batting average of .284 against the shift this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .261 (4,762 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Cubs are batting .293 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .266 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Rays hitters are slugging just .342 against RHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.
The Rays are batting .260 on the road since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Cubs pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Cubs pitchers this month (10 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH in the 2023 season (4,045 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 219 of 3,504 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 19 of 394 batters (5%) this month (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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