- The Reds are -130 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Reds Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Cubs / Reds TV Channel: MARQ | BSOH | MLBN
The Chicago Cubs (+105) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-125) on Thursday, June 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Cubs are 31-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 36-26 ATS.
Cubs vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 4-1, 2.26 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 3-2, 3.46 ERA
Cubs vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -175 | O 9.5 -115 | +105 |
| Reds | -1.5 +145 | U 9.5 -105 | -125 |
Cubs vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Busch has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 21 away games (+16.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 50 games (+15.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 50 games (+14.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 50 games (+11.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+10.90 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 48 games (+15.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+13.10 Units / 328% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Stolen Bases Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+11.60 Units / 30% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 29 away games (+3.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 60 games (+2.15 Units / 3% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 28 games at home (+13.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+11.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 44 games (+11.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.00 Units / 50% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 30-32 against the Run Line (-9.1 Units / -10.51% ROI).
- 31-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.19% ROI
- 29-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.25 Units / -7.65% ROI
- 31-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -1.03% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 36-26 against the Run Line (+7.5 Units / 9.08% ROI).
- 29-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -5.87% ROI
- 29-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.6 Units / -6.7% ROI
- 30-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -3.02% ROI
Reds vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Reds vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Reds vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Reds vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Greene (CIN) | 7.5 +125 | 7.5 -160 |
| Javier Assad (CHC) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .120 (18-for-150) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: .254 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 40% (199/500) against Javier Assad this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
6 of Javier Assad’s 18 breaking pitch strikeouts (33%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Javier Assad has allowed an OBP of just .172 (58 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .301 — 100th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Greene has walked 5 of 18 batters (28%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (44/108) against Hunter Greene on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .188 (25-for-133) against Hunter Greene this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 86th Percentile.
56% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cubs are just 5-166 (.029) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Cubs are 27-24 (.529) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Cubs are just 42-42 (.500) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Cubs are just 16-31 (.340) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Reds are just 24-28 (.462) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Reds are just 50-52 (.490) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .635.
The Reds are just 9-17 (.346) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 49-62 (.441) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .350 (961 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
The Cubs are batting just .203 with two outs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .230.
The Cubs are batting .292 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Cubs hitters are slugging .456 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .369.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .134 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Reds are batting just .114 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Reds hitters are slugging just .149 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.
Reds hitters have chased 28% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 52 of 553 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.4 MPH since last season (5,589 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
The Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH in the 2023 season (4,045 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Reds pitchers this season is 384.2 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 395.9
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Cubs vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
