- The Cubs are -125 favorites vs the Reds
- Cubs vs Reds Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Cubs / Reds TV Channel: MARQ | BSOH
The Chicago Cubs (-130) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+110) on Sunday, June 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Cubs are 31-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 37-28 ATS.
Cubs vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 5-1, 1.88 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 3-4, 4.03 ERA
Cubs vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +125 | O 9 -110 | -130 |
| Reds | +1.5 -155 | U 9 -110 | +110 |
Cubs vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+14.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 24 games (+12.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+10.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+9.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 45 games (+8.90 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+16.70 Units / 239% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 32 games (+14.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 28 games (+11.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+10.80 Units / 39% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 39 games (+13.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 27 away games (+1.90 Units / 5% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 19 games at home (+12.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.35 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 47 games (+10.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+10.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+8.35 Units / 33% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 32-33 against the Run Line (-8.9 Units / -9.68% ROI).
- 31-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -3.56% ROI
- 30-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.5 Units / -9.03% ROI
- 33-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.2 Units / 0.28% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 37-28 against the Run Line (+7.05 Units / 8.24% ROI).
- 32-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -1.64% ROI
- 30-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -8.13% ROI
- 32-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -1.62% ROI
Reds vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Reds vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Mike Tauchman (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Reds vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Reds vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shota Imanaga (CHC) | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
| Frankie Montas (CIN) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .138 (13-for-94) against Shota Imanaga when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has allowed a slugging percentage of just .202 (19 Total Bases / 94 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — 98th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 56% of Shota Imanaga’s pitches (525/930) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has walked 10 of 251 batters (4%) this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 93rd Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Frankie Montas has walked 4 of 18 batters (22%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 24% (104/435) against Frankie Montas since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Frankie Montas has allowed a slugging percentage of .727 (16 Total Bases / 22 ABs) on low fastballs this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .386 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents batted just .043 (1-for-23) against Frankie Montas — 2nd best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .224 — 98th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cubs are just 16-32 (.333) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Cubs are just 3-10 (.231) after a road win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Cubs are just 5-169 (.029) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Cubs are just 2-26 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Reds are just 1-6 (.143) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 61-43 (.587) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Reds are just 24-28 (.462) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Reds are 29-10 (.744) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .579.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .227 this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Cubs are batting just .228 on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .349 (983 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .331.
The Cubs have won just 54% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 77%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .133 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Reds are batting just .169 on breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .218.
The Reds are batting just .117 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
The Reds are batting just .216 at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 32 double plays in 476 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 55 of 577 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Cubs pitchers have 105 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 4th most in MLB.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The average home run distance against the Reds pitchers this season is 385.0 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 395.8
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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