- The Cubs are -118 favorites vs the Reds
- Cubs vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Cubs / Reds TV Channel: FDOH | MARQ
The Chicago Cubs (-115) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-105) on Saturday, May 24, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH, OH.
This season, the Cubs are 31-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 28-24 ATS.
Cubs vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Colin Rea 3-0, 2.38 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 3-0, 1.80 ERA
Cubs vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +140 | O 9 +100 | -115 |
| Reds | +1.5 -170 | U 9 -120 | -105 |
Cubs vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+16.55 Units / 165% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+13.25 Units / 65% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+12.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+11.55 Units / 77% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Will Benson has hit the Home Runs Over in his last 4 games at home (+16.70 Units / 418% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the RBIs Over in his last 4 games at home (+8.25 Units / 206% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Walks Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 46 games (+13.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 49 games (+13.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 46 games (+10.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 47 games (+10.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 games (+9.30 Units / 14% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 29 games (+14.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.20 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.05 Units / 14% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 27-24 against the Run Line (+3.22 Units / 5.08% ROI).
- 31-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.2 Units / 10.01% ROI
- 30-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.55 Units / 19.06% ROI
- 18-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.3 Units / -26.91% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 28-24 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -2.02% ROI).
- 25-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -8.9% ROI
- 19-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.7 Units / -27.76% ROI
- 32-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.95 Units / 18.93% ROI
Reds vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Will Benson (CIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Reds vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Carson Kelly (CHC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Reds vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Carson Kelly (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Reds vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Abbott (CIN) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Colin Rea (CHC) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Colin Rea had a strikeout rate of just 17% (50/285) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 19% (240/1,241) against Colin Rea in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Colin Rea walked 12 of 270 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 24% (307/1,265) against Colin Rea in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — third Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 20% (21/103) against Andrew Abbott’s curve and slider in 2023 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (14/50) against Andrew Abbott this month (4 games) — 2nd lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 45% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 26% (18/70) against Andrew Abbott this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (31/151) against Andrew Abbott on sliders since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cubs are 15-5 (.750) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Cubs are 7-2 (.778) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Reds (16th best runs scored) today.
The Cubs are 43-12 (.782) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .634.
The Cubs are 18-2 (.900) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .736.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Reds are just 6-18 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 0-23 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .089.
The Reds are just 10-20 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .426 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Cubs hitters are slugging .494 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .833 (1,050 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Cubs hitters are slugging .491 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .376.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters slugged just .151 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
Reds hitters are slugging just .155 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.
The Reds are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
The Reds are batting just .117 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .149.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cubs pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cubs pitchers had an ERA of 3.08 (733.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cubs pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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