The Chicago Cubs (+110) visit Salt River Fields at Talking Stick to take on the Colorado Rockies (-130) on Thursday, March 21, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Scottsdale, AZ.
This season, the Cubs are 0-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 0-1 ATS.
Cubs vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +110 |
| Rockies | -130 |
Cubs vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Thursday‘s matchup with 52.8% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Rockies and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Yan Gomes has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+1.80 Units / 180% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the Singles Over in his last game (+1.75 Units / 175% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.90 Units / 81% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.90 Units / 78% ROI)
- German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Under in his last game at home (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the RBIs Under in his last game at home (+1.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 games at home (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games at home (+11.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 82 of their last 150 games (+9.05 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+1.27 Units / 32% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cubs are 0-1 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.02 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 84.75% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rockies are 0-1 against the Run Line (-1.35 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 100% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
37 of Drew Smyly’s breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in the 2023 season — most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Drew Smyly threw his curveball 45% of the time (767/1,725) in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Smyly threw his curveball 49% of the time (1,186/2,401) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Smyly threw his curveball 42% of the time (223/525) when behind in the count in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Feltner has not allowed a HR in any of his last seven starts dating back to April 20th — Collin McHugh has the longest active streak at 9.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Cubs were 27-4 (.871) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Cubs are just 33-38 (.465) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Cubs were just 10-20 (.333) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Cubs were 17-15 (.531) after a loss as underdogs in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Rockies were just 44-13 (.772) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Rockies were just 15-14 (.517) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rockies were just 42-25 (.627) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .780.
The Rockies were just 40-20 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs batted .167 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Cubs hitters averaged 3.99 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters had an OBP of .264 (3,361 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Cubs batted .273 against division opponents in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 45% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have won just 58% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .233 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 43% of their games since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .220 against Cubs pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents batted .288 against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Austin Gomber (Colorado Rockies): Back, Out
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Kyle Freeland (Colorado Rockies): Oblique, Out
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, Out
- Codi Heuer (Chicago Cubs): Elbow, Out
- Brad Boxberger (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, Out
Bet now on Cubs vs Rockies and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
