- The Braves are -275 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Braves Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Braves TV Channel: BSSO | DBTV
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+220) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-275) on Friday, April 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 4-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 3-2 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Tommy Henry 0-1, 11.26 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider 0-0, 3.60 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 +110 | O 9 -120 | +220 |
| Braves | -1.5 -130 | U 9 +100 | -275 |
Diamondbacks vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 71.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 23 away games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.10 Units / 64% ROI)
- Zac Gallen has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 26 of his last 40 games (+11.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.00 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sam Hilliard has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Kevin Pillar has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 21 games (+5.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Sam Hilliard has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+5.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- Spencer Strider has hit the Earned Runs Over in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+5.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Travis d’Arnaud has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 70% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 50 of their last 83 away games (+13.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 83 away games (+11.36 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 91 of their last 157 games (+21.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+13.64 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.61 Units / 5% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 5-2 against the Run Line (+2.5 Units / 27.47% ROI).
- 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 1.74% ROI
- 4-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.55 Units / 6.75% ROI
- 3-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -14.38% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 3-2 against the Run Line (+1.5 Units / 25.21% ROI).
- 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -1.67% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units / 36.45% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -41.59% ROI
Braves vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Walker | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Suarez | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Gurriel Jr. | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Carroll | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Moreno | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 -2500 |
Braves vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Strider | 8.5 +115 | 8.5 -155 |
| Henry | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tommy Henry had a strike rate of just 62% (218/352) when he’s behind in the count in the 2023 season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 69% — fourth Percentile.
Tommy Henry has a strike rate of just 62% (228/366) when he’s behind in the count since last season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 69% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 23% (24/102) against Tommy Henry on breaking pitches in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 99th Percentile.
Tommy Henry has walked 47 of 463 right-handed batters (10%) since the 2022 season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 7% — fifth Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Strider has 68 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of 39% (635/1,644) against Spencer Strider in the 2023 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 42% (342/807) against Spencer Strider since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider had a strikeout rate of 37% (281/763) in the 2023 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Diamondbacks are just 122-21 (.853) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Diamondbacks are just 57-37 (.606) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Diamondbacks are just 138-13 (.914) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Diamondbacks are 20-126 (.137) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .092.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Braves are 47-41 (.534) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .303.
The Braves were 30-46 (.395) when they allowed 5 or more runs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .219.
The Braves were 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .430.
The Braves are 168-35 (.828) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .750 (144 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .509.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .410 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Diamondbacks hitters have missed on just 19% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .500 (26 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .472 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Braves hitters are slugging .497 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Braves hitters are slugging .502 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 10 double plays in 42 opportunities (24%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have picked-off 1 runner from first base this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 18 of 253 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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