- The Diamondbacks are +100 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Cardinals TV Channel: BSMW | DBTV
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+115) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-135) on Tuesday, April 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 11-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 13-10 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Tommy Henry 0-1, 6.76 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Steven Matz 1-1, 3.60 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -105 | +115 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -115 | -135 |
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Blaze Alexander has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Blaze Alexander has hit the Total Bases Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Blaze Alexander has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.30 Units / 5% ROI)
- Blaze Alexander has hit the Singles Under in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.15 Units / 2% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- No trends found
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 70 away games (+10.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+5.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.82 Units / 37% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 92 games (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 12-12 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -1.84% ROI).
- 11-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -14.49% ROI
- 11-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.55 Units / -9.46% ROI
- 12-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.39% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 13-10 against the Run Line (+3.3 Units / 11.3% ROI).
- 10-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -11.57% ROI
- 7-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -32.81% ROI
- 14-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.5 Units / 25.69% ROI
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jordan Walker (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tommy Henry has allowed a slugging percentage of .955 (21 Total Bases / 22 ABs) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .330 — 0 Percentile.
Tommy Henry has allowed an OPS of 1.475 (25 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .611 — 0 Percentile.
Tommy Henry has allowed a slugging percentage of .892 (33 Total Bases / 37 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .544 — second Percentile.
Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 23% (24/102) against Tommy Henry on breaking pitches in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 99th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 38% (26/68) against Steven Matz this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Steven Matz has allowed a slugging percentage of .682 (15 Total Bases / 22 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .292 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .390 (16-for-41) against Steven Matz’s non-fastballs this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .220 — fourth Percentile.
Steven Matz has thrown elevated pitches 52% of the time (45/87) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 99th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Diamondbacks are just 127-23 (.847) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Diamondbacks are just 36-16 (.692) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Diamondbacks are just 143-15 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Diamondbacks are just 80-9 (.899) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Cardinals are 28-10 (.737) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 47-49 (.490) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .590.
The Cardinals are just 17-26 (.395) after a road win since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .492.
The Cardinals are just 18-46 (.281) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .384.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .312 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 111 strikeouts in 593 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 166 strikeouts in 944 PA’s (18%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .427 (103 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are just 32-50 (.376) against the run line (-30.0% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
Cardinals hitters have just 2,093 strikeouts in 10,128 PA’s (21%) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .640 (862 PA’s) this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Cardinals have a winning percentage of just 43% at home since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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