Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 23

MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
  • The Diamondbacks are -130 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Diamondbacks / Cardinals TV Channel: ATV

The Arizona Diamondbacks (-130) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+105) on Friday, May 23, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO, MO.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 26-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 30-20 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 3-5, 5.15 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 3-2, 3.75 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks-1.5 +135O 8.5 -102-130
Cardinals +1.5 -165U 8.5 -118+105

Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+20.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.40 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.30 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Pavin Smith has hit the Walks Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 51% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+29.00 Units / 322% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Victor Scott II has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.55 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 81% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 34 games (+10.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 34 games (+9.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.45 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+3.35 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 away games (+3.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 17 games (+14.20 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 27 games (+10.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 games (+7.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.93 Units / 33% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 23-27 against the Run Line (-8.81 Units / -13.49% ROI).

  • 26-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -4.39% ROI
  • 22-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.65 Units / -10.26% ROI
  • 25-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 1.09% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 30-20 against the Run Line (+5.4 Units / 7.56% ROI).

  • 27-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 8.5% ROI
  • 26-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.85 Units / 3.38% ROI
  • 22-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.8 Units / -12.31% ROI

Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corbin Carroll (ARI) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +400 0.5 -525
Nolan Gorman (STL) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Josh Naylor (ARI) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900

Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Naylor (ARI) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Brendan Donovan (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Masyn Winn (STL) 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Cardinals vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corbin Carroll (ARI) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Willson Contreras (STL) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220

Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zac Gallen (ARI) 4.5 -150 4.5 +110
Miles Mikolas (STL) 3.5 +115 3.5 -150

Zac Gallen has walked 17% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of 1.082 (88 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .721 — second Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of .684 (52 Total Bases / 76 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .407 — fourth Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of 1.082 (88 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .719 — fourth Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents batted .225 (89-for-396) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .225 (95-for-423) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — fourth Percentile.

Miles Mikolas allowed a slugging percentage of .519 (95 Total Bases / 183 ABs) on low non-fastballs in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .302 — second Percentile.

Miles Mikolas allowed a slugging percentage of .554 (150 Total Bases / 271 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — third Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Diamondbacks are 88-20 (.807) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Diamondbacks are 6-80 (.069) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .048.

The Diamondbacks are just 19-6 (.760) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .873.

The Diamondbacks were 13-51 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .143.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Cardinals are 89-5 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .901.

The Cardinals are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .126.

The Cardinals are just 10-157 (.060) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Cardinals are just 16-145 (.099) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .139.

Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .347 (3,080 PA’s) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .347 (4,069 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.

The Diamondbacks batted .284 against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Cardinals have scored first in 77% of their road games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.

The Cardinals are batting .189 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .148.

The Cardinals are batting .243 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .172.

Cardinals hitters struck out just 351 times in 1,755 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have 59 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have won 37% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Batters facing the Cardinals pitchers have struck out in the zone 46% of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Cardinals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 23% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

More MLB Reading:


Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

Split First Bet Offer FBO March Matchups 1080x610
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.