- The Diamondbacks are -105 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Cardinals TV Channel: DBTV | FDMW
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-105) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-115) on Saturday, May 24, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO, MO.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 26-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 31-20 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly 5-2, 3.28 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore 3-3, 2.93 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +165 | O 8 -120 | -105 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -200 | U 8 +100 | -115 |
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gabriel Moreno has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+20.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+11.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.70 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+28.00 Units / 280% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.15 Units / 67% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.05 Units / 54% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games (+11.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+10.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.80 Units / 20% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 18 games (+15.20 Units / 60% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games (+11.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+6.57 Units / 23% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 41 games (+6.35 Units / 14% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 23-28 against the Run Line (-9.81 Units / -14.79% ROI).
- 26-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -6% ROI
- 22-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.8 Units / -12.1% ROI
- 26-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 2.86% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 31-20 against the Run Line (+6.4 Units / 8.76% ROI).
- 28-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.75 Units / 10.11% ROI
- 26-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 1.25% ROI
- 23-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -10.31% ROI
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Tim Tawa (ARI) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Gabriel Moreno (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ivan Herrera (STL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Liberatore (STL) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Merrill Kelly (ARI) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Merrill Kelly has allowed an OBP of just .178 (90 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .295 — 100th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has allowed an OBP of just .178 (90 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 98th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has allowed an OPS of just .387 (90 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .666 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .140 (12-for-86) against Merrill Kelly when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 98th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Liberatore’s K:BB ratio is 11.3 (34/3) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.2 — 98th Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore has walked 2% of right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore has a first-pitch strike rate of 80% (71/89) this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore walked 4 of 138 left-handed batters (3%) in the 2024 season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 96th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Diamondbacks are 6-81 (.068) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Diamondbacks are just 24-2 (.923) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .958.
The Diamondbacks are just 19-6 (.760) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .872.
The Diamondbacks are just 171-14 (.924) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Cardinals are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .127.
The Cardinals are just 0-16 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .089.
The Cardinals are 17-8 (.680) at home this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Cardinals are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .041.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .337 (6,284 PA’s) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .334 (5,723 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .473 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals have scored first in 77% of their road games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
The Cardinals are batting .188 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .148.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .354 (935 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Batters facing the Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out in the zone 48% of the time since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had an ERA of 4.68 (739.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Cardinals pitchers have struck out in the zone 46% of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Cardinals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 23% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
More MLB Reading:
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