- The Diamondbacks are +105 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Cardinals TV Channel: DBTV | FDMW
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+105) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-125) on Sunday, May 25, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 26-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 32-20 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 7-3, 3.86 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 5-1, 4.05 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -225 | O 7.5 -120 | +105 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +170 | U 7.5 +100 | -125 |
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gabriel Moreno has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+15.00 Units / 375% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- Pavin Smith has hit the Walks Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 64% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+17.50 Units / 175% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.05 Units / 67% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.05 Units / 54% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.55 Units / 55% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 36 games (+12.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 36 games (+10.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 52 games (+3.35 Units / 5% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 19 games (+16.20 Units / 61% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games (+12.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+7.57 Units / 26% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 42 games (+6.35 Units / 13% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 23-29 against the Run Line (-10.81 Units / -16.06% ROI).
- 26-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.1 Units / -7.36% ROI
- 23-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.8 Units / -10.12% ROI
- 26-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 0.88% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 32-20 against the Run Line (+7.4 Units / 9.92% ROI).
- 29-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.75 Units / 11.62% ROI
- 27-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 2.98% ROI
- 23-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.9 Units / -12.03% ROI
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ivan Herrera (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ivan Herrera (STL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray (STL) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 67% (18/27) against Brandon Pfaadt in late innings since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Division opponents batted .302 against Brandon Pfaadt (60-for-199) in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — third Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has a strikeout rate of just 27% (15 SO in 55 PAs) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Opponents batted .383 (41-for-107) against Brandon Pfaadt on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2024 season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .330 — 19th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 47% (17 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray had a strikeout rate of 58% (203/350) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray allowed an OBP of just .160 (350 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 98th Percentile.
Sonny Gray allowed an OPS of just .321 (350 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .486 — 98th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Diamondbacks are just 24-2 (.923) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .957.
The Diamondbacks are 17-70 (.193) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Diamondbacks are just 171-14 (.924) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are 58-49 (.542) on the road since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Cardinals are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .128.
The Cardinals are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Cardinals are just 10-157 (.060) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Cardinals are just 58-60 (.492) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Diamondbacks (first best runs scored) today.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .347 (4,069 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .423 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 16% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Diamondbacks have scored 1.87 runs per game (401/214) in late innings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.44.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting .185 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .148.
The Cardinals have scored first in 77% of their road games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .269 (995 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Cardinals are batting .187 with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a in-zone of just 48% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Batters facing the Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out in the zone 48% of the time since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Cardinals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 23% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
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