- The Dodgers are -185 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | DBTV | ESPN+ | MLBN
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+160) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-190) on Tuesday, July 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 41-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 43-42 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 5-6, 5.67 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Bobby Miller 1-1, 6.75 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -125 | O 9 -120 | +160 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +105 | U 9 +100 | -190 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 65.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the Walks Under in 32 of his last 37 games (+22.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+16.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+13.75 Units / 92% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+12.45 Units / 79% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 75 games (+7.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 41 away games (+5.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 26 away games (+4.10 Units / 15% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games at home (+11.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+7.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 31% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 39-45 against the Run Line (-12.1 Units / -10.97% ROI).
- 41-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -6.26% ROI
- 41-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.35 Units / -4.66% ROI
- 41-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -3.72% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 43-42 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -4.9% ROI).
- 52-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -5.51% ROI
- 42-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.35 Units / -4.65% ROI
- 42-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.1 Units / -4.38% ROI
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Miguel Rojas (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jason Heyward (LAD) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -140 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Miller (LAD) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Ryne Nelson (ARI) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -115 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .372 (51-for-137) against Ryne Nelson this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 0 Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has a strikeout rate of just 6% (1 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd lowest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 21% — sixth Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed a slugging percentage of .569 (103 Total Bases / 181 ABs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .386 — first Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed an OPS of .990 (150 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .695 — 0 Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bobby Miller has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to April 5th — Zack Littell has the longest active streak at 8.
The average home run distance against Bobby Miller in the 2023 season was 383.2 feet — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
The average home run distance against Bobby Miller since last season is 386.0 feet — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: 398.7
Bobby Miller has allowed a slugging percentage of just .250 (39 Total Bases / 156 ABs) versus the bottom of the order since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: .374 — 97th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Diamondbacks are 21-16 (.568) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 9-36 (.200) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
The Diamondbacks are just 168-15 (.918) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are just 105-9 (.921) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Dodgers are 51-20 (.718) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .460.
The Dodgers are 66-114 (.367) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Dodgers are 235-44 (.842) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Dodgers are 90-40 (.692) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .587.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
27% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in 74% of their games against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in 67% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .318 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .343.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (11,397 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers hitters have 401 extra-base hits out of 1,005 total hits (40%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .785 (11,397 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .785 (6,888 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 26% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.27 (1852.0 IP) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Dodgers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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