- The Dodgers are -140 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | DBTV | MLBN
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+115) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-135) on Thursday, July 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 42-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 43-44 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 6-4, 2.84 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Landon Knack 1-1, 2.08 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -105 | +115 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -115 | -135 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the Walks Under in 32 of his last 37 games (+22.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+16.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+13.75 Units / 92% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+12.45 Units / 79% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 43 away games (+6.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 77 games (+5.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.05 Units / 47% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+11.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+4.70 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 23% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 41-45 against the Run Line (-10.1 Units / -8.95% ROI).
- 42-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.95 Units / -5.5% ROI
- 43-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.35 Units / -2.46% ROI
- 41-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.6 Units / -5.98% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 43-44 against the Run Line (-7.05 Units / -6.77% ROI).
- 53-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.9 Units / -5.99% ROI
- 44-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.35 Units / -2.45% ROI
- 42-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.3 Units / -6.57% ROI
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Miguel Rojas (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen (ARI) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Landon Knack (LAD) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .316 (201 Total Bases / 637 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .375 — 95th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .327 (123 Total Bases / 376 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .393 — 96th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed an OBP of just .255 (685 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 91st Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed an OBP of just .264 (405 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 84th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Landon Knack has limited playing time.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Diamondbacks are just 151-25 (.858) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Diamondbacks are just 8-16 (.333) after a home win this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Diamondbacks are 36-9 (.800) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
The Diamondbacks are 12-5 (.706) after a home loss this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .544.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Dodgers are 51-20 (.718) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Dodgers are 235-44 (.842) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Dodgers are 99-46 (.683) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .490.
The Dodgers are 91-40 (.695) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .587.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have scored first in 67% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
27% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .237 on pitches out of the zone this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .767 (1,005 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .455 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (11,466 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers hitters have 402 extra-base hits out of 1,006 total hits (40%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .459 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 28% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.48 (1137.0 IP) at home since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.57 (1808.2 IP) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.26.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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