- The Diamondbacks are -150 favorites vs the Marlins
- Diamondbacks vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Marlins TV Channel: FDFL | DBTV
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-150) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+125) on Wednesday, April 16, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 10-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 8-8 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 2-1, 3.57 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 1-1, 2.00 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +118 | O 8.5 -110 | -150 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -140 | U 8.5 -110 | +125 |
Diamondbacks vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 59.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+17.00 Units / 340% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+12.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 away games (+9.05 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Otto Lopez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games at home (+14.00 Units / 140% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+10.10 Units / 50% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.20 Units / 88% ROI)
- Griffin Conine has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.70 Units / 42% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 91 of their last 162 games (+21.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 82 away games (+13.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 81 away games (+12.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 82 away games (+10.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 82 away games (+8.00 Units / 7% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 54 of their last 81 games at home (+30.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games at home (+12.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 161 games (+1.35 Units / 1% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 9-8 against the Run Line (+2.5 Units / 12.5% ROI).
- 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 4.23% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -4% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -4.29% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 8-8 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -4.62% ROI).
- 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 15.52% ROI
- 10-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.1 Units / 17.03% ROI
- 6-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -27.65% ROI
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Matt Mervis (MIA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Pavin Smith (ARI) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jake McCarthy (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Marlins vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pavin Smith (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Meyer (MIA) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -115 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Pfaadt has a first-pitch strike rate of 71% (587/828) since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has a first-pitch strike rate of 70% (49/70) this season — 5th highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 62% — 91st Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed a slugging percentage of .516 (16 Total Bases / 31 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .246 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 43% (30/70) against Brandon Pfaadt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 31% — 97th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (6/49) against Max Meyer this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 38% (16/42) against Max Meyer this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (6/49) against Max Meyer this season — 2nd lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Max Meyer has allowed an OBP of just .185 (27 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .284 — 97th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Diamondbacks are 1-7 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .026.
The Diamondbacks were 13-51 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Diamondbacks are 10-132 (.070) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Diamondbacks are just 156-12 (.929) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Marlins are just 44-16 (.733) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Marlins were just 30-51 (.370) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Marlins were just 14-31 (.311) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Marlins were just 20-41 (.328) after a win in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .279 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .344 (2,185 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .338 (6,933 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .349 (3,462 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Marlins had a winning percentage of just 37% at home last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Marlins are just 2-13 (.133) against the run line (-67.3% ROI) as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Marlins batted .281 against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Marlins hitters had an OBP of just .286 (1,976 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH in the 2024 season (4,288 balls in play) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.8
Diamondbacks pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH (4,288 batted balls) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.8.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Marlins pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Marlins pitchers this month (11 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
More MLB Reading:
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