- The Mets are -140 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Mets TV Channel: SNY | DBTV | MLBN
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+115) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-135) on Saturday, June 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 25-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 24-33 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Slade Cecconi 1-4, 6.13 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 3-1, 3.20 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -185 | O 8 +100 | +115 |
| Mets | -1.5 +150 | U 8 -120 | -135 |
Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 32 games (+16.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+16.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+13.40 Units / 223% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+13.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 41 games (+11.75 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tomas Nido has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 21 games (+14.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 23 games at home (+13.30 Units / 58% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+11.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+10.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+10.70 Units / 42% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games (+10.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 46 games (+8.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 29 away games (+3.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 away games (+2.15 Units / 15% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 48 games (+4.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+2.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.10 Units / 2% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 24-33 against the Run Line (-13.3 Units / -17.9% ROI).
- 25-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.75 Units / -13.78% ROI
- 24-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -16.34% ROI
- 31-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +5 Units / 8.05% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 24-33 against the Run Line (-12.55 Units / -16.87% ROI).
- 24-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.6 Units / -16.84% ROI
- 28-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.65 Units / -1.06% ROI
- 26-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.2 Units / -7.02% ROI
Mets vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Mets vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Mets vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Mets vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sean Manaea (NYM) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +115 |
| Slade Cecconi (ARI) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -140 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (15/99) against Slade Cecconi this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Slade Cecconi has an ERA of 8.22 (15.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 3.92 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 22% (47/214) against Slade Cecconi this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.
Slade Cecconi has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to May 3rd — the longest active streak is 5.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea has walked 13 of 90 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 18% (22/122) against Sean Manaea in late innings since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (22/85) against Sean Manaea in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 18% (7/38) against Sean Manaea when he’s behind in the count this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 39% — third Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Diamondbacks are just 137-24 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Diamondbacks are just 155-15 (.912) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are just 92-9 (.911) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Mets are just 9-50 (.153) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Mets are just 5-93 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Mets are just 20-35 (.364) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .472.
The Mets are just 28-33 (.459) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .571.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
29% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .360 against RHP this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .343.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have won just 25% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Mets are batting just .211 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Mets hitters are slugging just .339 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .849 (400 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.039.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 18% of left-handed batters they faced this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 59 of 515 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 199 of 1,927 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 56% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets pitchers have walked 233 of 2,207 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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