- The Diamondbacks are -105 favorites vs the Mets
- Diamondbacks vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Mets TV Channel: WPIX | DBTV
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-105) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-115) on Friday, May 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 25-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 24-32 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery 3-2, 4.77 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Luis Severino 2-2, 3.21 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +165 | O 7 -105 | -105 |
| Mets | +1.5 -200 | U 7 -115 | -115 |
Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake McCarthy has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+20.00 Units / 400% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 31 games (+19.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+17.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 43 games (+14.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 40 games (+12.75 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tomas Nido has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 20 games (+15.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+14.30 Units / 65% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+13.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+9.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+9.65 Units / 72% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 47 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+9.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 28 away games (+4.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 away games (+3.15 Units / 23% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+1.40 Units / 14% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 23-33 against the Run Line (-14.3 Units / -19.81% ROI).
- 25-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.75 Units / -12.54% ROI
- 23-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.35 Units / -18.25% ROI
- 31-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.05 Units / 9.91% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 24-32 against the Run Line (-11.55 Units / -15.74% ROI).
- 23-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.6 Units / -18.79% ROI
- 27-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -2.75% ROI
- 26-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -5.36% ROI
Mets vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -550 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
Mets vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Mets vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Mets vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Montgomery (ARI) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
| Luis Severino (NYM) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Montgomery has allowed an OPS of .925 (49 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (5 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .476 — second Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has allowed a slugging percentage of .558 (24 Total Bases / 43 ABs) with two-strikes this month (5 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .250 — second Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has allowed an OBP of .367 (49 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (5 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .227 — second Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has walked 31 of 639 batters (5%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 91st Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Severino allowed a batting average of just .037 vs right-handed batters (best)– 100th Percentile and .333 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for fourth worst among qualified SPs)– eighth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 16% (26/165) against Luis Severino this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Luis Severino has allowed a just .074 SLG vs right-handed batters (third best)– 97th Percentile and .524 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (ninth worst among qualified SPs)– 14th Percentile.
Luis Severino has walked 16 of 133 right-handed batters (12%) this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — third Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Diamondbacks are just 137-24 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Diamondbacks are just 155-15 (.912) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are just 92-9 (.911) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Mets are just 9-50 (.153) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Mets are just 5-93 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Mets are just 63-30 (.677) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Mets are just 20-35 (.364) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
30% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .277 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .427 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .552.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 456 strikeouts in 2,364 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have won just 25% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Mets are batting just .205 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Mets have won just 25% of games in which they have scored first this month (27 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 68%.
The Mets are batting just .226 at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks have won just 10% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 18% of left-handed batters they faced this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 59 of 506 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets pitchers have walked 821 of 8,250 batters (10%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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