- The Diamondbacks are -135 favorites vs the Nationals
- Diamondbacks vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Nationals TV Channel: DBTV | MAS2
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-135) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+115) on Saturday, April 5, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Washington, D.C., DC.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 5-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 1-6 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez 0-0, 5.07 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 1-0, 0.00 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +125 | O 9 -115 | -135 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -150 | U 9 -105 | +115 |
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+13.05 Units / 64% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+12.80 Units / 160% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 away games (+9.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.60 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in his last 3 games at home (+22.20 Units / 740% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+10.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+9.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Mitchell Parker has hit the Strikeouts Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.35 Units / 70% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 106 games (+32.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 105 games (+16.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 47 away games (+16.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 47 away games (+14.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 42 of their last 81 away games (+13.55 Units / 14% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 154 games (+7.30 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.50 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+6.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 36 games (+6.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.00 Units / 31% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 5-3 against the Run Line (+2.2 Units / 21.46% ROI).
- 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 18.78% ROI
- 5-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.85 Units / 32.95% ROI
- 2-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.6 Units / -40.22% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 1-6 against the Run Line (-6.85 Units / -74.46% ROI).
- 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -69.01% ROI
- 3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -16.88% ROI
- 4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 10.39% ROI
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Nationals vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Mitchell Parker (WAS) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez in the 2023 season was 382.0 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.8
Eduardo Rodriguez has thrown his changeup 51% of the time (32/63) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total CH; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez threw his changeup 38% of the time (32/85) over the last week of the regular season (1 games) — 2nd highest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 17% — 96th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has thrown his changeup 38% of the time (32/85) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitchell Parker has pitched 12.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Daniel Lynch has the longest active streak at 26.0.
Mitchell Parker allowed three-ball counts to 11% of batters they faced (17/156 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Mitchell Parker allowed a BABIP of .383 vs left-handed batters in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .287 — first Percentile.
Mitchell Parker had a strike rate of 68% (636/938) when behind in the count in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 99th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Diamondbacks were 67-15 (.807) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Diamondbacks are 136-34 (.795) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Diamondbacks are just 152-12 (.927) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are 21-120 (.148) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Nationals are just 42-151 (.218) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Nationals are just 73-93 (.440) at home since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Nationals were just 20-43 (.317) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Diamondbacks (first best runs scored) today.
The Nationals were just 27-44 (.380) after a win in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .278 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .350 (3,243 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Diamondbacks are batting .524 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
The Diamondbacks are batting .281 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .947 (2,256 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.086.
Nationals hitters have put 52% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Nationals hitters put 39% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had an ERA of 4.68 (739.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
More MLB Reading:
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