- The Diamondbacks are -180 favorites vs the Nationals
- Diamondbacks vs Nationals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Nationals TV Channel: DBTV | MAS2
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-180) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+150) on Sunday, April 6, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Washington, D.C., DC.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 5-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 2-6 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 0-0, 4.16 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mike Soroka 0-1, 7.21 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 -105 | O 7.5 +100 | -180 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -115 | U 7.5 -120 | +150 |
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 60.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+11.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+11.80 Units / 131% ROI)
- Pavin Smith has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+21.20 Units / 530% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+12.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+9.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jose Tena has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games at home (+8.95 Units / 149% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 106 games (+32.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 105 games (+16.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 47 away games (+16.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 47 away games (+14.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 away games (+12.35 Units / 17% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 154 games (+7.30 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.50 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+6.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 36 games (+6.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.00 Units / 31% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 5-4 against the Run Line (+1.2 Units / 10.67% ROI).
- 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 4.46% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 17.35% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.6 Units / -26% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 2-6 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -54.93% ROI).
- 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.75 Units / -46.3% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units / -27.68% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.8 Units / 20.57% ROI
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Pavin Smith (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Nationals vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pavin Smith (ARI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes (ARI) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Trevor Williams (WAS) | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +100 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 75% of the time (175/234) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes located his fastball inside 75% of the time (175/234) in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes threw fastballs down 68% of the time (158/234) in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes located his fastball inside 59% of the time (156/262) in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mike Soroka walked 27 of 172 left-handed batters (16%) in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Mike Soroka has a strikeout rate of 42% (34 SO in 81 PAs) in late innings since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Mike Soroka has walked 28 of 183 left-handed batters (15%) since last season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Mike Soroka walked 27 of 201 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Diamondbacks were 5-59 (.077) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Diamondbacks are 21-121 (.147) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Diamondbacks are 136-35 (.791) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Diamondbacks are just 152-12 (.927) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Nationals were just 20-43 (.317) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Diamondbacks (first best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 144-188 (.434) since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Nationals are just 47-86 (.353) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Diamondbacks (first best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 43-151 (.222) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .279 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Diamondbacks are batting .278 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Diamondbacks have scored 27 runs in innings 7-9 this season — most in MLB.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .350 (3,243 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have 39 strikeouts in 99 PA’s (39%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Nationals hitters struck out just 340 times in 1,868 PA’s (18%) against LHP in 2023 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters have 89 strikeouts in 280 PA’s (32%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters have put 50% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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