- The Diamondbacks are -105 favorites vs the Nationals
- Diamondbacks vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Nationals TV Channel: MAS2 | DBTV
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-105) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-115) on Tuesday, June 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 35-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 44-27 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Slade Cecconi 1-5, 6.76 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 5-5, 3.02 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +150 | O 9 -115 | -105 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -185 | U 9 -105 | -115 |
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 23 games (+16.70 Units / 73% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 45 games (+15.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+9.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 32 games (+9.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 45 games (+8.90 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games at home (+16.60 Units / 237% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.65 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+9.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 22 games at home (+8.75 Units / 40% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 63 games (+8.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 away games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 72 games (+3.55 Units / 4% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 63 games (+18.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 63 games (+16.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 63 games (+12.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 65 games (+6.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 33-39 against the Run Line (-10.95 Units / -11.59% ROI).
- 35-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.85 Units / -6.44% ROI
- 36-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -1.88% ROI
- 34-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.05 Units / -6.42% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 44-27 against the Run Line (+14.53 Units / 15.74% ROI).
- 35-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.15 Units / 17.92% ROI
- 31-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.2 Units / -10.57% ROI
- 36-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.73 Units / 2.2% ROI
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Eddie Rosario (WAS) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Nationals vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario (WAS) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Irvin (WAS) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Slade Cecconi (ARI) | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Slade Cecconi has allowed an OPS of 1.520 (25 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (3 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .711 — 0 Percentile.
Slade Cecconi has allowed at least one HR in each of his last seven games dating back to May 3rd — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Slade Cecconi has allowed an OPS of 1.519 (27 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .710 — 0 Percentile.
Slade Cecconi has allowed a slugging percentage of .546 (95 Total Bases / 174 ABs) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .394 — first Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (93/264) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (303/878) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (93/264) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (303/878) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Diamondbacks are 17-3 (.850) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .757.
The Diamondbacks are just 7-15 (.318) after a home win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Diamondbacks are 30-7 (.811) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Diamondbacks are just 163-15 (.916) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Nationals are just 76-119 (.390) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Nationals are 6-1 (.857) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .579.
The Nationals are just 50-196 (.203) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
The Nationals are just 28-45 (.384) after a home win since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
28% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .282 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .453 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
The Diamondbacks are batting .280 when leading off an inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 18% of left-handed batters they faced this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .351 (2,057 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Nationals vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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