- The Diamondbacks are -165 favorites vs the Nationals
- Diamondbacks vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Nationals TV Channel: MAS2 | DBTV
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-165) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+140) on Wednesday, June 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 36-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 44-28 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 3-5, 4.35 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin 1-7, 5.87 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 -105 | O 9.5 -115 | -165 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -115 | U 9.5 -105 | +140 |
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 65.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 19 away games (+20.50 Units / 108% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 46 games (+16.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+8.15 Units / 16% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+15.60 Units / 195% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+12.65 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+10.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nick Senzel has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+9.20 Units / 84% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 64 games (+7.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 away games (+5.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 73 games (+4.60 Units / 5% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 64 games (+17.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 64 games (+15.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 64 games (+11.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 66 games (+7.25 Units / 10% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 34-39 against the Run Line (-9.95 Units / -10.33% ROI).
- 36-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -5.17% ROI
- 36-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -3.21% ROI
- 35-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.05 Units / -5.08% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 44-28 against the Run Line (+13.53 Units / 14.5% ROI).
- 35-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.85 Units / 15.86% ROI
- 31-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.3 Units / -11.82% ROI
- 37-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.73 Units / 3.42% ROI
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Blaze Alexander (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Nationals vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Corbin (WAS) | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -150 |
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Pfaadt has a first-pitch strike rate of 72% (253/350) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt allowed a batting average of just .188 vs right-handed batters (ninth best)– 89th Percentile and .301 vs left-handed batters this season (third worst among qualified SPs)– fifth Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed an OBP of just .230 (174 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 95th Percentile.
8 of Brandon Pfaadt’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — tied for 5th most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 94th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .316 (199-for-630) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — third Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has allowed an OPS of .858 (687 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .656 — fourth Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has allowed a slugging percentage of .494 (311 Total Bases / 630 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .370 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .258 (33-for-128) against Patrick Corbin with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — first Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Diamondbacks are just 7-15 (.318) after a home win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Diamondbacks are 31-7 (.816) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Diamondbacks are just 101-9 (.918) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Diamondbacks are 18-3 (.857) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .757.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Nationals are 6-1 (.857) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .579.
The Nationals are just 50-197 (.202) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
The Nationals are just 76-120 (.388) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Nationals are just 2-12 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .303.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
28% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .315 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .343.
The Diamondbacks are batting .282 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Diamondbacks are batting .284 when leading off an inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have just 909 strikeouts in 4,591 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .918 (1,611 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.083.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 39% at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters have just 512 strikeouts in 2,644 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 18% of left-handed batters they faced this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 26% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
