- The Nationals are -145 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Nationals TV Channel: MAS2 | DBTV
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+120) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-145) on Thursday, June 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 36-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 45-28 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 4-5, 5.47 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 6-5, 3.21 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -160 | O 9 -120 | +120 |
| Nationals | -1.5 +135 | U 9 +100 | -145 |
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 20 away games (+19.50 Units / 98% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 47 games (+17.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+9.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+9.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 47 games (+9.05 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+14.60 Units / 162% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 28 games (+11.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+11.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+10.20 Units / 61% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 65 games (+8.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 74 games (+5.60 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.00 Units / 45% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 65 games (+18.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 65 games (+16.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 65 games (+10.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 67 games (+8.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+7.05 Units / 23% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 34-40 against the Run Line (-11.05 Units / -11.34% ROI).
- 36-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -6.89% ROI
- 36-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.65 Units / -4.45% ROI
- 36-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -3.77% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 45-28 against the Run Line (+14.53 Units / 15.39% ROI).
- 36-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.35 Units / 17.64% ROI
- 31-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -12.98% ROI
- 38-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.73 Units / 4.61% ROI
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Eddie Rosario (WAS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -550 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ildemaro Vargas (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jesse Winker (WAS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Nationals vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Eddie Rosario (WAS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryne Nelson (ARI) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
| Mackenzie Gore (WAS) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -160 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .376 (44-for-117) against Ryne Nelson this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 0 Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed an OPS of .995 (128 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .688 — 0 Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed a BABIP of .452 against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .286 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .362 (25-for-69) against Ryne Nelson versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .227 — 0 Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (67/201) against MacKenzie Gore this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 35% (55/157) against MacKenzie Gore this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has thrown inside pitches 38% of the time (166/436) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .381 (16-for-42) against MacKenzie Gore on low fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .249 — fifth Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Diamondbacks are just 7-15 (.318) after a home win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Diamondbacks are just 101-9 (.918) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Diamondbacks are 11-3 (.786) after a home loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .538.
The Diamondbacks are just 3-18 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .302.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Nationals are 6-1 (.857) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .578.
The Nationals are just 77-120 (.391) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Nationals are just 28-46 (.378) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Nationals are just 155-204 (.432) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have scored first in 68% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Diamondbacks hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .783 (843 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 36% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have drawn 115 walks in 2,091 PA’s (6%) when leading off an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Nationals hitters have just 911 strikeouts in 4,594 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Nationals are just 5-15 (.250) against the run line (-35.5% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .917 (1,615 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.082.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 17% of left-handed batters they faced this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .350 (3,490 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Nationals vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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