- The Orioles are -140 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Orioles TV Channel: ATV+
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-130) on Friday, May 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 18-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 20-16 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 1-2, 4.54 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cole Irvin 3-1, 2.86 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -190 | O 8 -115 | +110 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +155 | U 8 -105 | -130 |
Diamondbacks vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kevin Newman has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+17.50 Units / 292% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.05 Units / 58% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.75 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 30 games (+22.80 Units / 76% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 18 games at home (+12.80 Units / 71% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+12.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 26 games (+9.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.00 Units / 90% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 70 away games (+10.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 78 of their last 129 games (+23.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 74 of their last 129 games (+14.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 80 games (+12.26 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 80 games (+9.88 Units / 9% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 18-20 against the Run Line (-4.25 Units / -8.6% ROI).
- 18-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -10.02% ROI
- 15-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.4 Units / -19.79% ROI
- 21-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.85 Units / 11.77% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 20-16 against the Run Line (+7.2 Units / 16.9% ROI).
- 24-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.9 Units / 9.39% ROI
- 18-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 4.31% ROI
- 15-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.9 Units / -12.31% ROI
Orioles vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Orioles vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Gabriel Moreno (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Orioles vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Irvin (BAL) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -135 |
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Pfaadt allowed a batting average of just .111 vs right-handed batters (tied for third best)– 97th Percentile and .522 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (worst among qualified SPs)– first Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has a first-pitch strike rate of 76% (133/174) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 34% (20/59) against Brandon Pfaadt this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .522 (12-for-23) against Brandon Pfaadt — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .225 — first Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (35/234) against Cole Irvin this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 16% (30/192) against Cole Irvin this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Cole Irvin has a strikeout rate of just 16% (22 SO in 137 PAs) this season — tied for 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — ninth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 8% (4/51) against Cole Irvin with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Diamondbacks are just 131-23 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Diamondbacks are 22-139 (.137) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Diamondbacks are just 36-71 (.336) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Diamondbacks are just 149-15 (.909) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Orioles are 18-6 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 45-55 (.450) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Orioles are 55-41 (.573) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Orioles are 42-23 (.646) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .489.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
30% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .313 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .651 (1,015 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .696.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging 1.000 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
Orioles hitters are slugging .497 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Orioles hitters are slugging .772 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .549.
Orioles hitters are slugging .444 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .386.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 57%.
The Diamondbacks have won just 0% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Orioles pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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