- The Orioles are -125 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Orioles Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Orioles TV Channel: MAS2 | DBTV
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-125) on Sunday, May 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 18-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 21-17 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 4-2, 2.84 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 3-2, 3.54 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -200 | O 7.5 -115 | +105 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +165 | U 7.5 -105 | -125 |
Diamondbacks vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- Kevin Newman has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+15.50 Units / 194% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+15.10 Units / 46% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+15.05 Units / 61% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 19 away games (+9.80 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 32 games (+25.15 Units / 79% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+16.10 Units / 81% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+12.80 Units / 107% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 37 games (+12.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.40 Units / 29% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 70 away games (+10.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 75 of their last 124 games (+23.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 71 of their last 124 games (+14.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 80 games (+12.26 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 80 games (+9.88 Units / 9% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 19-21 against the Run Line (-5.05 Units / -9.58% ROI).
- 18-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -13.66% ROI
- 16-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.5 Units / -18.99% ROI
- 22-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.85 Units / 11.2% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 21-17 against the Run Line (+7.75 Units / 17.38% ROI).
- 26-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.9 Units / 12.52% ROI
- 19-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 3.83% ROI
- 16-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.9 Units / -11.69% ROI
Orioles vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Orioles vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Orioles vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Orioles vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer (BAL) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Zac Gallen (ARI) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen has a first-pitch strike rate of just 46% (72/156) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 39% (20/51) against Zac Gallen this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .211 (72-for-341) against Zac Gallen when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 91st Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .588 (369 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .694 — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .103 (6-for-58) against Dean Kremer when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .220 — 100th Percentile.
Dean Kremer has allowed an OBP of just .175 (63 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .286 — 100th Percentile.
Dean Kremer has allowed an OPS of just .381 (63 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .655 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .103 (6-for-58) against Dean Kremer when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Diamondbacks are 22-139 (.137) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Diamondbacks are just 149-15 (.909) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are just 36-71 (.336) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Diamondbacks are just 131-23 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Orioles are 18-6 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 76-48 (.613) after a win since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .509.
The Orioles are 55-41 (.573) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Orioles are 29-20 (.592) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .488 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 86 strikeouts in 496 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .566 (459 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .678.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 417 strikeouts in 2,193 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .497 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Orioles hitters are slugging .740 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .554.
The Orioles are 44-21 (.677) against the run line (30.0% ROI) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Orioles are batting .275 against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks have won just 0% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 101 of 1,406 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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