- The Phillies are -200 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Phillies Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Phillies TV Channel: Roku
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+165) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-200) on Sunday, June 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 11:35am EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 38-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 41-35 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Slade Cecconi 2-5, 5.95 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 4-3, 2.84 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -110 | O 9.5 +100 | +165 |
| Phillies | -1.5 -110 | U 9.5 -120 | -200 |
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 64.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 77 games (+6.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 68 games (+6.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 61 games (+21.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 59 games (+20.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 58 games (+19.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 32 games at home (+16.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 59 games (+16.05 Units / 23% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 36-41 against the Run Line (-10.05 Units / -9.88% ROI).
- 38-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.05 Units / -5.23% ROI
- 37-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.05 Units / -5.91% ROI
- 38-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.15 Units / -2.56% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 41-35 against the Run Line (+6 Units / 6.56% ROI).
- 50-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.6 Units / 10.1% ROI
- 33-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.05 Units / -10.8% ROI
- 38-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 1.74% ROI
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -175 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -225 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Blaze Alexander (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| David Dahl (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Phillies vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -110 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -110 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| David Dahl (PHI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Slade Cecconi (ARI) | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +100 |
| Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Slade Cecconi has allowed an OPS of 1.273 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .711 — first Percentile.
Slade Cecconi has allowed a slugging percentage of .829 (29 Total Bases / 35 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .417 — second Percentile.
Slade Cecconi has allowed an OPS of 1.182 (90 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .687 — 0 Percentile.
Slade Cecconi has walked 1 of 77 batters (1%) this month (4 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 99th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (59/92) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 66% (124/187) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (141/235) against Cristopher Sanchez this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 50% (230/457) against Cristopher Sanchez with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Diamondbacks are just 7-15 (.318) after a home win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.
The Diamondbacks are just 148-24 (.860) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Diamondbacks are just 166-15 (.917) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are just 9-33 (.214) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Phillies are 4-20 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .058.
The Phillies are 8-16 (.333) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .149.
The Phillies are 44-5 (.898) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Phillies are 5-18 (.217) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .108.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
27% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in 68% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 512 strikeouts in 2,578 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .776 (4,599 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Phillies hitters are slugging .448 against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .340 (981 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Phillies are batting .254 with two outs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .119 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Phillies pitchers have an ERA of 3.12 (686.0 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Phillies have won 60% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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