Diamondbacks vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 28

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(AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 28, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Diamondbacks are -115 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Diamondbacks vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Diamondbacks / Rangers TV Channel: DBTV | BSSW

The Arizona Diamondbacks (-120) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+100) on Tuesday, May 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 25-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 21-33 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 2-3, 4.01 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks-1.5 +140O 8.5 +100-120
Rangers +1.5 -165U 8.5 -120+100

Diamondbacks vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+21.00 Units / 525% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 25 of his last 34 games (+16.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 28 games (+16.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 40 games (+15.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+14.55 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Corey Seager has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 17 games (+19.75 Units / 116% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+12.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jonah Heim has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.55 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Jonah Heim has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+10.50 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games (+8.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 42 games (+6.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+6.45 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 away games (+5.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+11.65 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.35 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.65 Units / 41% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 23-30 against the Run Line (-9.7 Units / -14.35% ROI).

  • 25-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -8.2% ROI
  • 23-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -8 Units / -13.59% ROI
  • 28-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.05 Units / 5.28% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 21-33 against the Run Line (-16.7 Units / -24.22% ROI).

  • 25-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.65 Units / -15.27% ROI
  • 20-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.25 Units / -23.93% ROI
  • 31-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.05 Units / 15.27% ROI

Rangers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +300 0.5 -375
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Jonah Heim (TEX) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Nate Lowe (TEX) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1100

Rangers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Leody Taveras (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Josh H. Smith (TEX) 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Nate Lowe (TEX) 0.5 -175 0.5 +135

Rangers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Jonah Heim (TEX) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Leody Taveras (TEX) 0.5 +210 0.5 -275

Rangers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) 5.5 +125 5.5 -165

Brandon Pfaadt has a first-pitch strike rate of 74% (183/247) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (6/29) against Brandon Pfaadt — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 44% (108/247) against Brandon Pfaadt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.

Brandon Pfaadt has allowed an OBP of just .228 (123 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 92nd Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .033 (1-for-30) against Dane Dunning’s low curves and sliders this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .194 — 100th Percentile.

Dane Dunning has located his breaking pitches away 64% of the time (616/959) since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — 94th Percentile.

Dane Dunning has walked 10 of 94 right-handed batters (11%) this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 7% — eighth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .271 (29-for-107) against Dane Dunning on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: .346 — 93rd Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Diamondbacks are just 155-15 (.912) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Diamondbacks are just 137-24 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.

The Diamondbacks are 16-10 (.615) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are just 92-9 (.911) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rangers are just 3-167 (.018) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Rangers are just 10-16 (.385) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rangers are just 155-25 (.861) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.

The Rangers are just 9-151 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.

30% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .241 (220 PA’s) against LHP this month (18 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .302.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .448 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .546.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Rangers hitters are slugging just .182 with two-strikes this month (24 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Rangers hitters are slugging .473 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.

Rangers hitters are slugging .442 against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Rangers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 18% of left-handed batters they faced this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Rangers pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 100 of 920 batters (11%) this month (24 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 208 of 2,032 batters (10%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
  • Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
  • Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
  • Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
  • Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.