- The Rangers are -135 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Rangers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Rangers TV Channel: DBTV | BSSW
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-135) on Wednesday, May 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 25-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 22-33 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 3-3, 6.03 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning 3-3, 4.43 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -175 | O 9 -115 | +110 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +145 | U 9 -105 | -135 |
Diamondbacks vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake McCarthy has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+21.00 Units / 525% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+17.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 29 games (+17.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+14.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 41 games (+14.15 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Corey Seager has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 18 games (+22.60 Units / 126% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+13.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+11.50 Units / 62% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.80 Units / 39% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 43 games (+7.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+5.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 away games (+4.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.30 Units / 31% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+12.65 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+8.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.90 Units / 17% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 23-31 against the Run Line (-11.55 Units / -16.63% ROI).
- 25-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -9.56% ROI
- 23-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.15 Units / -15.25% ROI
- 29-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.05 Units / 6.88% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 22-33 against the Run Line (-15.1 Units / -21.59% ROI).
- 26-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.65 Units / -13.58% ROI
- 20-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.4 Units / -25.37% ROI
- 32-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.05 Units / 16.67% ROI
Rangers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Rangers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Leody Taveras (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Rangers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Rangers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Dunning (TEX) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +115 |
| Ryne Nelson (ARI) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +105 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .353 (53-for-150) against Ryne Nelson this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .239 — first Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has struck out just 14% (53/384) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed a BABIP of .533 against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .286 — 0 Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed an OPS of .909 (308 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: .725 — third Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .132 (9-for-68) against Dane Dunning when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .231 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .271 (29-for-107) against Dane Dunning on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: .346 — 93rd Percentile.
Dane Dunning has averaged 80.4 MPH on sliders since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 85.0 — sixth Percentile.
Dane Dunning has a strike rate of just 61% (221/362) against right-handed batters this season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Diamondbacks are just 155-15 (.912) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are just 137-24 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Diamondbacks are just 92-9 (.911) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Diamondbacks are 16-10 (.615) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rangers are just 3-167 (.018) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 10-16 (.385) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are 37-22 (.627) after a home win since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Rangers are just 9-151 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
30% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .275 against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .312 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .343.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .472 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,872/14,420 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
The Rangers won 62% of their home games in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .331 (6,150 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 18% of left-handed batters they faced this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have an ERA of 5.54 (117.0 IP) at home this month (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.67.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .209 against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Rangers pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 210 of 2,068 batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 102 of 956 batters (11%) this month (25 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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