- The Diamondbacks are -120 favorites vs the Reds
- Diamondbacks vs Reds Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Reds TV Channel: FS1 | DBTV | BSOH
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-120) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+100) on Wednesday, May 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 16-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 18-17 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery 1-2, 5.63 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Graham Ashcraft 3-1, 3.64 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +135 | O 9 -110 | -120 |
| Reds | +1.5 -165 | U 9 -110 | +100 |
Diamondbacks vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kevin Newman has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+18.50 Units / 370% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in his last 9 games (+10.75 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 26 games (+16.40 Units / 63% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+15.90 Units / 60% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- Christian Encarnacio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+10.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.70 Units / 38% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 70 away games (+10.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 38 games at home (+17.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 128 games (+15.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.97 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+2.97 Units / 7% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 17-19 against the Run Line (-4.25 Units / -9.09% ROI).
- 16-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -15.45% ROI
- 15-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.2 Units / -17.93% ROI
- 20-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 9.85% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 18-17 against the Run Line (-0.45 Units / -0.98% ROI).
- 16-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -11.6% ROI
- 18-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.05 Units / 0.13% ROI
- 16-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -10.31% ROI
Reds vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Reds vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Moreno (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Reds vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Reds vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Graham Ashcraft (CIN) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Jordan Montgomery (ARI) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Montgomery has a strikeout rate of just 17% (53 SO in 313 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 11th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has thrown his changeup 26% of the time (702/2,724) against right-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 96th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has thrown his changeup 23% of the time (512/2,237) in non-two strike counts since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (20/118) against Jordan Montgomery this season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Graham Ashcraft has allowed a just .250 SLG vs right-handed batters (ninth best)– 91st Percentile and .521 vs left-handed batters this season (ninth worst among qualified SPs)– 13th Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 7.36 (95.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 3.98 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 34% (47/140) against Graham Ashcraft this season — 2nd best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 14% (20/138) against Graham Ashcraft this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Diamondbacks are just 130-23 (.850) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Diamondbacks are just 147-15 (.907) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are 81-20 (.802) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Diamondbacks are just 84-9 (.903) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Reds are just 44-49 (.473) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Reds are just 23-26 (.469) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.
The Reds are just 56-42 (.571) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Reds are just 44-19 (.698) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .316 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
29% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .375 (441 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .872 (441 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .120 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .279 (843 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .206 (689 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Reds hitters have 239 strikeouts in 843 PA’s (28%) against RHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have won just 0% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 57%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .346 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .299 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Reds vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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