- The Reds are -130 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Reds Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Reds TV Channel: DBTV | BSOH | MLBN
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-130) on Thursday, May 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 17-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 19-17 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Slade Cecconi 1-2, 4.96 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 1-2, 3.15 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 +100 | +110 |
| Reds | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -120 | -130 |
Diamondbacks vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kevin Newman has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+17.50 Units / 292% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+14.05 Units / 65% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+12.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in his last 10 games (+11.75 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+17.60 Units / 64% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 27 games (+15.40 Units / 57% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+14.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+10.30 Units / 30% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 70 away games (+10.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 38 games at home (+17.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 128 games (+15.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.97 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+2.97 Units / 7% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 17-20 against the Run Line (-5.25 Units / -10.99% ROI).
- 17-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -12.93% ROI
- 15-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.4 Units / -20.31% ROI
- 21-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.85 Units / 12.09% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 19-17 against the Run Line (+0.55 Units / 1.16% ROI).
- 16-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -13.84% ROI
- 18-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -2.88% ROI
- 17-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -7.51% ROI
Reds vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Ford (LAA) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Reds vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| TJ Friedl (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Reds vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Mike Ford (LAA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Reds vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Greene (CIN) | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -120 |
| Slade Cecconi (ARI) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 9% (4/44) against Slade Cecconi this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Slade Cecconi has allowed an OBP of just .222 (63 PA’s) this season — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .169 (10-for-59) against Slade Cecconi this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .240 — 96th Percentile.
Slade Cecconi has allowed a BABIP of .171 this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .286 — 100th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Greene has a strikeout rate of 38% (24 SO in 63 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .579 (11 GB hits out of 19 GBs) against Hunter Greene with runners on base this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .253 — first Percentile.
70% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has struck out 34% (209/618) of left-handed batters he faced since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Diamondbacks are 22-139 (.137) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Diamondbacks are just 148-15 (.908) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are just 131-23 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Diamondbacks are just 85-9 (.904) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Reds are just 56-42 (.571) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Reds are just 44-19 (.698) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Reds are just 44-49 (.473) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Reds are 22-8 (.733) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .866 (444 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Diamondbacks are batting .313 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Diamondbacks hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .372 (444 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .181 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Reds are batting just .121 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .166.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .208 (704 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Reds are batting just .209 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Diamondbacks have won just 0% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 57%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .299 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .348 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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