Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 10

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Colorado Rockies center fielder Brenton Doyle (9) in the third inning of a baseball game Sunday, Oct. 1, 2023, in Denver. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 10, 2024, 11:50 AM
  • The Diamondbacks are -145 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Diamondbacks vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11 Runs
  • Diamondbacks / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | DBTV | ESPN+

The Arizona Diamondbacks (-145) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+120) on Wednesday, April 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 5-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 6-6 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Tommy Henry 0-1, 6.76 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber 0-0, 6.24 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks-1.5 +100O 11 +100-145
Rockies +1.5 -120U 11 -120+120

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 60.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+12.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 away games (+9.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Merrill Kelly has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+9.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Merrill Kelly has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+9.45 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alan Trejo has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+11.10 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Cal Quantrill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Jake Cave has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+9.90 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.65 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Alan Trejo has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 50 of their last 83 away games (+13.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 83 away games (+11.36 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 games at home (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games at home (+11.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 82 of their last 150 games (+9.05 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+1.27 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.20 Units / 16% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 7-5 against the Run Line (+1.35 Units / 9.15% ROI).

  • 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -19.33% ROI
  • 7-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.35 Units / 9.89% ROI
  • 5-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -18.36% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 6-6 against the Run Line (-0.85 Units / -6.25% ROI).

  • 3-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -37.5% ROI
  • 8-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.6 Units / 26.87% ROI
  • 4-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -35.38% ROI

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Walker 0.5 +275 0.5 -350
Marte 0.5 +280 0.5 -350
Suarez 0.5 +325 0.5 -400
Grichuk 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Gurriel Jr. 0.5 +400 0.5 -550

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Suarez 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Montero 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
McMahon 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Newman 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Jones 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Rockies vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Walker 0.5 -115 0.5 -115
Gurriel Jr. 0.5 -110 0.5 -115
Marte 0.5 -110 0.5 -120
Suarez 0.5 +105 0.5 -140
Diaz 0.5 +110 0.5 -140

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gomber 2.5 -175 2.5 +130
Henry 4.5 +115 4.5 -150

Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 23% (24/102) against Tommy Henry on breaking pitches in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of 35% (18/52) versus Tommy Henry on inside fastballs in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (19/55) against Tommy Henry on inside fastballs since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Hitters have chased 16 of Tommy Henry’s 28 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 57%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .637 (256 Total Bases / 402 ABs) on fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .435 — 0 Percentile.

Austin Gomber had a strikeout rate of just 10% (13/134) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.

Hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order are hitting .328 (124-for-378) against Austin Gomber since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: .249 — second Percentile.

Austin Gomber allowed a slugging percentage of .661 (144 Total Bases / 218 ABs) on fastballs in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .456 — third Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Diamondbacks are just 139-14 (.908) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Diamondbacks are just 123-23 (.842) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.

The Diamondbacks are just 58-37 (.611) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.

The Diamondbacks are 20-128 (.135) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .093.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rockies are just 16-16 (.500) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .792.

The Rockies were just 15-14 (.517) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Rockies were just 41-20 (.672) when leading entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The Rockies were just 45-13 (.776) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .456 (129 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .511 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.

Diamondbacks hitters have just 969 strikeouts in 4,699 PA’s (21%) against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Diamondbacks hitters have just 83 strikeouts in 477 PA’s (17%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.6.

The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Rockies are batting .277 at home since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 29 of 446 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
  • Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
  • Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
  • Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.