Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 8

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(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 08, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Diamondbacks are -185 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Diamondbacks vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11 Runs
  • Diamondbacks / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | DBTV

The Arizona Diamondbacks (-185) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+150) on Monday, April 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 4-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 4-6 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 2-0, 0.82 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 0-2, 27.02 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks-1.5 -120O 10.5 +100-185
Rockies +1.5 +100U 10.5 -120+150

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Monday‘s MLB game with 64.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 18 away games (+12.10 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Zac Gallen has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 26 of his last 40 games (+11.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Merrill Kelly has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+10.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 away games (+10.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.95 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Cal Quantrill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Alan Trejo has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+11.10 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Alan Trejo has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Kris Bryant has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.85 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Austin Gomber has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 50 of their last 83 away games (+13.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 83 away games (+11.36 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 games at home (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games at home (+11.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 82 of their last 150 games (+9.05 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+1.27 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.20 Units / 16% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 7-3 against the Run Line (+3.8 Units / 30.89% ROI).

  • 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units / -19.31% ROI
  • 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.4 Units / 12.17% ROI
  • 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -21.33% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 4-6 against the Run Line (-2.9 Units / -25% ROI).

  • 2-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -50% ROI
  • 7-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.65 Units / 32.44% ROI
  • 3-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -41.86% ROI

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Walker 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Suarez 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Grichuk 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Montero 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Doyle 0.5 +800 0.5 -1400

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gallen 5.5 +100 5.5 -135
Freeland 3.5 +125 3.5 -160

Zac Gallen has a strike rate of just 57% (107/186) this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — fifth Percentile.

Zac Gallen has a strike rate of just 55% (31/56) in two strike counts this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — sixth Percentile.

Zac Gallen has a first-pitch strike rate of just 49% (21/43) this season — 2nd lowest among in NL; League Avg: 63% — third Percentile.

Zac Gallen has a strike rate of just 57% (107/186) this season — 2nd lowest among in NL; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Freeland has allowed an OPS of 1.543 (40 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .701 — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .586 (17-for-29) against Kyle Freeland this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .239 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .543 (19-for-35) against Kyle Freeland this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 0 Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.074 (29 Total Bases / 27 ABs) on pitches in the strike zone this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .445 — 0 Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Diamondbacks are just 138-14 (.908) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Diamondbacks are just 122-23 (.841) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.

The Diamondbacks are just 65-11 (.855) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.

The Diamondbacks were 17-11 (.607) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rockies are just 16-16 (.500) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .792.

The Rockies are just 47-14 (.770) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.

The Rockies were just 41-20 (.672) when leading entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The Rockies are just 43-21 (.672) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .449 (101 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Diamondbacks hitters have 2 extra-base hits out of 20 total hits (just 10%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Diamondbacks hitters struck out just 916 times in 4,427 PA’s (21%) against RHP in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.6.

The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Rockies have won just 58% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 23 of 372 batters (6%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The longest HR allowed by the Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 493.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0

Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
  • Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
  • Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
  • Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.