Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 9

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 09, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Diamondbacks are -185 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Diamondbacks vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11.5 Runs
  • Diamondbacks / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | DBTV

The Arizona Diamondbacks (-185) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+150) on Tuesday, April 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 4-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 5-6 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly 1-0, 1.98 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 0-1, 9.36 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks-1.5 -120O 11 +100-185
Rockies +1.5 +100U 11 -120+150

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 65.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+11.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Merrill Kelly has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+10.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+10.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 away games (+10.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Zac Gallen has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 26 of his last 41 games (+9.45 Units / 17% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Cal Quantrill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.60 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Alan Trejo has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+11.10 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Alan Trejo has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.65 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Kyle Freeland has hit the Strikeouts Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.65 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 50 of their last 83 away games (+13.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 83 away games (+11.36 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 games at home (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games at home (+11.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 82 of their last 150 games (+9.05 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+1.27 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.50 Units / 13% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 7-4 against the Run Line (+2.6 Units / 19.26% ROI).

  • 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -27.55% ROI
  • 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units / 19.05% ROI
  • 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.35 Units / -28.76% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 5-6 against the Run Line (-1.9 Units / -15.08% ROI).

  • 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -31.82% ROI
  • 8-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.65 Units / 37.65% ROI
  • 3-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.6 Units / -47.26% ROI

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Walker 0.5 +300 0.5 -400
Suarez 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
Carroll 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Montero 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Doyle 0.5 +800 0.5 -1400

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kelly 5.5 -135 5.5 +105
Quantrill 3.5 +120 3.5 -155

Merrill Kelly has allowed an OBP of just .125 (24 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: .256 — 100th Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has walked 1 of 48 batters (2%) this season — tied for best among in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has allowed an OBP of just .191 (47 PA’s) this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .303 — 92nd Percentile.

Merrill Kelly walked 25 of 207 batters (12%) versus the bottom of the order in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cal Quantrill has allowed an OBP of .478 (23 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .256 — first Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has allowed an OPS of 1.089 (23 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .514 — first Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 17% (4 SO in 23 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 11% (4/36) against Cal Quantrill this season — 2nd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Diamondbacks are just 122-23 (.841) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.

The Diamondbacks are just 138-14 (.908) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Diamondbacks are just 57-37 (.606) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.

The Diamondbacks are just 65-11 (.855) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rockies are just 44-21 (.677) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.

The Rockies are just 48-14 (.774) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.

The Rockies were just 45-13 (.776) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Rockies were just 15-14 (.517) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.

Diamondbacks hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Diamondbacks hitters have just 30 strikeouts in 201 PA’s (15%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Diamondbacks hitters have just 75 strikeouts in 438 PA’s (17%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Rockies have won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.

The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .635 (6,253 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 26 of 411 batters (6%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The longest HR allowed by the Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 493.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
  • Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
  • Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
  • Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.