- The Yankees are -135 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Yankees Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Yankees TV Channel: AMZP | DBTV | MLBN
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+115) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-135) on Wednesday, April 2, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx, NY.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 3-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 3-1 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 0-1, 9.01 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 1-0, 1.69 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -180 | O 7.5 -102 | +115 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +145 | U 7.5 -118 | -135 |
Diamondbacks vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+15.80 Units / 316% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 away games (+12.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.35 Units / 48% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.80 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+22.50 Units / 562% ROI)
- Carlos Rodon has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+6.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 20 games (+6.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Carlos Rodon has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.70 Units / 58% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 106 games (+32.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 105 games (+16.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 47 away games (+16.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 47 away games (+14.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 42 of their last 81 away games (+13.55 Units / 14% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 119 games (+19.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 75 of their last 142 games (+12.30 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+6.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+2.50 Units / 5% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 3-2 against the Run Line (+1.8 Units / 30.25% ROI).
- 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 9.6% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units / 36.11% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -41.96% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 3-1 against the Run Line (+2.6 Units / 57.14% ROI).
- 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 36.04% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units / 45.35% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -52.22% ROI
Yankees vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -235 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Yankees vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Yankees vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen (ARI) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 5.5 -118 | 5.5 -110 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen has located his fastball up for a strike just 20% (3/15) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 1 total IP; League Avg: 59% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 19% of Zac Gallen’s fastballs (8/43) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 1 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 0 Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .599 (558 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2023 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .686 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .219 (113-for-517) against Zac Gallen when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 88th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .548 (80 Total Bases / 146 ABs) on elevated fastballs since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .361 — sixth Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has an ERA of 6.48 (50.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.53 — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 40% (10/25) against Carlos Rodon this season — 3rd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 26% — 95th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon had an ERA of 6.48 (50.0 IP) against division opponents in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.56 — first Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Diamondbacks are just 150-12 (.926) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are 21-119 (.149) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Diamondbacks were 13-51 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Diamondbacks are 134-34 (.793) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Yankees are 82-23 (.781) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Diamondbacks (26th best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are 74-55 (.574) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Diamondbacks (26th best runs allowed) today.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .350 (3,243 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Diamondbacks are batting .571 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .347 (3,080 PA’s) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Diamondbacks batted .276 at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .719 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Yankees hitters are slugging .828 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .384.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.281 (75 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .693.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 43% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of 49% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have an ERA of 4.70 (775.0 IP) at home since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 536.1 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 473.2
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 31% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
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