- The Dodgers are -115 favorites vs the Braves
- Dodgers vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Braves TV Channel: FOX
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-102) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-118) on Saturday, May 3, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Atlanta, GA, GA.
This season, the Dodgers are 22-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 15-16 ATS.
Dodgers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Roki Sasaki 0-1, 3.56 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 1-2, 2.87 ERA
Dodgers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +165 | O 8.5 -115 | -102 |
| Braves | +1.5 -200 | U 8.5 -105 | -118 |
Dodgers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andy Pages has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 away games (+20.10 Units / 287% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.35 Units / 78% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sean Murphy has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+14.10 Units / 176% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.30 Units / 62% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.30 Units / 31% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 50% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+4.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.05 Units / 32% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 16-15 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 2.37% ROI).
- 22-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.25 Units / 9.91% ROI
- 18-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.1 Units / 8.84% ROI
- 14-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units / -15.42% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 15-16 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -4.23% ROI).
- 14-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.95 Units / -19.84% ROI
- 14-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -3.92% ROI
- 14-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -3.69% ROI
Braves vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
Braves vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Braves vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Braves vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
| Roki Sasaki (LAD) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +115 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Roki Sasaki has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 47% (99/213) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Roki Sasaki has walked 16% of batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Roki Sasaki has walked 29% of batters with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 34% of Roki Sasaki’s non-fastballs (73/213) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 0 Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Schwellenbach has allowed an OPS of just .263 (20 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .985 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .062 (1-for-16) against Spencer Schwellenbach when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .303 — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has a first-pitch strike rate of 72% (107/149) this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has a strike rate of 69% (367/536) this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 93rd Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Dodgers are 185-33 (.849) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Dodgers were 13-3 (.812) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Dodgers are 17-4 (.810) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers are 90-46 (.662) after a loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .495.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Braves are 5-11 (.312) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Braves are 4-13 (.235) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .080.
The Braves are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .037.
The Braves are just 7-3 (.700) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .454 against LHP since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Dodgers hitters had 165 extra-base hits out of 385 total hits (43%) against LHP in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .339 (9,903 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Dodgers hitters have 349 extra-base hits out of 876 total hits (40%) against LHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Braves hitters slugged .501 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .870 (1,425 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Braves hitters are slugging .475 against LHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers walked 454 of 6,018 batters (7%) in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 13% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Dodgers allowed 3.86 runs per game (313/81) at home in 2023 — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.64.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out in the zone 41% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out in the zone 46% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers walked 85 of 1,447 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
More MLB Reading:
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